Pro LeaguePartial

Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun

Sunday 8 November at 00:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Al Ahli win	54.4%	64.6%	70.9%
Draw	21.3%	20.3%	17.8%
Al Taawoun win	24.3%	15.0%	11.4%
Al Ahli or draw	75.7%	—	88.6%
Al Ahli or Al Taawoun	78.7%	—	82.2%
Draw or Al Taawoun	45.6%	—	29.1%
Over 1.5 goals	84.8%	—	82.6%
Under 1.5 goals	15.2%	—	17.4%
Over 2.5 goals	65.2%	59.2%	60.7%
Under 2.5 goals	34.8%	40.8%	39.2%
Over 3.5 goals	43.3%	—	39.0%
Under 3.5 goals	56.7%	—	61.0%
Both teams to score	63.7%	—	53.2%
Not both teams to score	36.3%	—	46.8%
Al Ahli to score	87.1%	—	89.8%
Al Taawoun to score	73.1%	—	46.2%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 7 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 19:37 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:21 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.5%	4.6%	3.0%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
1	7.1%	9.3%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
2	7.3%	9.6%	6.3%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
3	5.0%	6.5%	4.3%	1.9%	0.6%	0.2%
4	2.5%	3.3%	2.2%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
5	1.0%	1.4%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1.2–19.6%
2.1–19.3%
3.2–07.3%
4.1–07.1%
5.3–16.5%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.05 – 1.31. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Al AhliDLWWWW

Scored 13 · Conceded 11

Mon 2 Novat Al Sadd0–0
Fri 30 Octat Al Shabab1–6xG 0.70–3.63
Mon 26 Octat Al Gharafa2–1
Fri 23 Octat Al Khaleej4–1xG 3.01–0.66
Mon 19 Octat Al-Fayha3–2xG 2.85–0.55
Mon 12 Octat Al Wasl3–1

Al TaawounWDWLLD

Scored 8 · Conceded 6

Wed 4 Novat Al Faysali3–1
Sat 31 Octat Al Ettifaq1–1xG 1.23–1.65
Wed 28 Octat Al Faysali2–0
Sat 24 Octat Al Riyadh1–2xG 0.43–0.97
Tue 20 Octat Al-Qadsiah0–1xG 0.47–1.75
Sat 17 Octat Al Diraiyah FC1–1xG 0.94–1.62

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Al Ahli: −0.91 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 3 games: scored 8 on 6.56 xG, conceded 9 on 4.83 xG against.

Al Taawoun: +0.23 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 4 games: scored 3 on 3.08 xG, conceded 5 on 5.99 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Al Ahli win

54.4%

64.6%

70.9%

Draw

21.3%

20.3%

17.8%

Al Taawoun win

24.3%

15.0%

11.4%

Al Ahli or draw

75.7%

—

88.6%

Al Ahli or Al Taawoun

78.7%

—

82.2%

Draw or Al Taawoun

45.6%

—

29.1%

Over 1.5 goals

84.8%

—

82.6%

Under 1.5 goals

15.2%

—

17.4%

Over 2.5 goals

65.2%

59.2%

60.7%

Under 2.5 goals

34.8%

40.8%

39.2%

Over 3.5 goals

43.3%

—

39.0%

Under 3.5 goals

56.7%

—

61.0%

Both teams to score

63.7%

—

53.2%

Not both teams to score

36.3%

—

46.8%

Al Ahli to score

87.1%

—

89.8%

Al Taawoun to score

73.1%

—

46.2%

3.5%

4.6%

3.0%

1.3%

0.4%

0.1%

7.1%

9.3%

6.1%

2.7%

0.9%

0.2%

7.3%

9.6%

6.3%

2.7%

0.9%

0.2%

5.0%

6.5%

4.3%

1.9%

0.6%

0.2%

2.5%

3.3%

2.2%

1.0%

0.3%

0.1%

1.0%

1.4%

0.9%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%