Serie BCalibrated

Benevento vs Avellino

Sunday 8 November at 01:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Benevento win	53.9%	46.9%	52.5%
Draw	24.0%	27.5%	25.5%
Avellino win	22.1%	25.6%	22.0%
Benevento or draw	77.9%	—	78.0%
Benevento or Avellino	76.0%	—	74.5%
Draw or Avellino	46.1%	—	47.5%
Over 1.5 goals	75.2%	—	73.3%
Under 1.5 goals	24.8%	—	26.7%
Over 2.5 goals	50.8%	50.3%	48.4%
Under 2.5 goals	49.2%	49.7%	51.6%
Over 3.5 goals	28.7%	—	26.2%
Under 3.5 goals	71.3%	—	73.8%
Both teams to score	51.7%	—	50.7%
Not both teams to score	48.3%	—	49.3%
Benevento to score	81.8%	—	79.3%
Avellino to score	63.2%	—	57.7%

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 19:38 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:22 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.7%	6.7%	3.3%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
1	11.4%	11.4%	5.7%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
2	9.7%	9.7%	4.9%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
3	5.5%	5.5%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
4	2.4%	2.4%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
5	0.8%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–011.4%
2.1–111.4%
3.2–09.7%
4.2–19.7%
5.0–06.7%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.71 – 1.00. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

BeneventoLDWDWL

Scored 9 · Conceded 7

Sat 31 Octat US Cremonese0–2xG 1.00–1.59
Tue 27 Octat US Catanzaro1–1xG 2.72–0.51
Sat 24 Octat Arezzo3–0xG 2.23–0.32
Sat 17 Octat Vicenza2–2xG 2.39–1.18
Sat 10 Octat Cesena FC2–0xG 1.36–0.50
Fri 2 Octat Frosinone Calcio1–2

AvellinoWDLDWL

Scored 9 · Conceded 7

Sun 1 Novat Pisa SC2–0xG 1.77–0.89
Tue 27 Octat Virtus Entella1–1xG 1.01–0.87
Sat 24 Octat Padova0–1xG 2.01–0.50
Sun 18 Octat Cesena FC1–1xG 1.37–1.98
Fri 9 Octat UC Sampdoria4–1xG 2.04–0.73
Sat 19 Septat Ascoli1–3xG 0.77–1.16

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Benevento: −0.52 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 8 on 9.70 xG, conceded 5 on 4.11 xG against.

Avellino: −0.14 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 8.97 xG, conceded 7 on 6.12 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Benevento win

53.9%

46.9%

52.5%

Draw

24.0%

27.5%

25.5%

Avellino win

22.1%

25.6%

22.0%

Benevento or draw

77.9%

—

78.0%

Benevento or Avellino

76.0%

—

74.5%

Draw or Avellino

46.1%

—

47.5%

Over 1.5 goals

75.2%

—

73.3%

Under 1.5 goals

24.8%

—

26.7%

Over 2.5 goals

50.8%

50.3%

48.4%

Under 2.5 goals

49.2%

49.7%

51.6%

Over 3.5 goals

28.7%

—

26.2%

Under 3.5 goals

71.3%

—

73.8%

Both teams to score

51.7%

—

50.7%

Not both teams to score

48.3%

—

49.3%

Benevento to score

81.8%

—

79.3%

Avellino to score

63.2%

—

57.7%

6.7%

3.3%

1.1%

0.3%

0.1%

11.4%

5.7%

1.9%

0.5%

0.1%

9.7%

4.9%

1.6%

0.4%

0.1%

5.5%

2.8%

0.9%

0.2%

0.0%

2.4%

1.2%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

0.8%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%