Serie BCalibrated

Carrarese vs Sampdoria

Sunday 8 November at 23:15 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Carrarese win	47.6%	38.3%	43.0%
Draw	25.8%	29.1%	27.3%
Sampdoria win	26.6%	32.5%	29.7%
Carrarese or draw	73.4%	—	70.3%
Carrarese or Sampdoria	74.2%	—	72.7%
Draw or Sampdoria	52.4%	—	57.0%
Over 1.5 goals	72.5%	—	72.3%
Under 1.5 goals	27.5%	—	27.7%
Over 2.5 goals	47.2%	48.7%	47.4%
Under 2.5 goals	52.8%	51.3%	52.6%
Over 3.5 goals	25.6%	—	26.1%
Under 3.5 goals	74.4%	—	73.9%
Both teams to score	50.8%	—	52.7%
Not both teams to score	49.2%	—	47.3%
Carrarese to score	77.8%	—	73.9%
Sampdoria to score	65.2%	—	64.5%

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:33 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.7%	8.1%	4.3%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
1	11.6%	12.3%	6.5%	2.3%	0.6%	0.1%
2	8.7%	9.2%	4.9%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
3	4.4%	4.6%	2.4%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
4	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
5	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–112.3%
2.1–011.6%
3.2–19.2%
4.2–08.7%
5.0–18.1%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.51 – 1.06. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

CarrareseLWLWWL

Scored 7 · Conceded 8

Sun 1 Novat Hellas Verona0–3xG 1.03–1.03
Wed 28 Octat Arezzo2–1xG 2.21–0.86
Sun 25 Octat Palermo FC1–2xG 1.41–2.41
Sat 17 Octat Modena FC2–1xG 1.41–1.56
Sun 11 Octat Padova2–0xG 1.19–0.93
Sat 19 Septat Benevento0–1xG 1.02–1.15

SampdoriaWLDLLW

Scored 7 · Conceded 10

Sat 31 Octat Virtus Entella2–0xG 0.50–0.64
Tue 27 Octat Ascoli0–2xG 0.91–0.74
Sat 24 Octat FC Sudtirol1–1xG 0.75–1.72
Sun 18 Octat Arezzo1–2xG 2.88–1.06
Fri 9 Octat Avellino1–4xG 0.73–2.04
Sat 19 Septat US Catanzaro2–1xG 2.11–1.23

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Carrarese: −0.22 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 7 on 8.28 xG, conceded 8 on 7.94 xG against.

Sampdoria: −0.58 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 7 on 7.89 xG, conceded 10 on 7.43 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Carrarese win

47.6%

38.3%

43.0%

Draw

25.8%

29.1%

27.3%

Sampdoria win

26.6%

32.5%

29.7%

Carrarese or draw

73.4%

—

70.3%

Carrarese or Sampdoria

74.2%

—

72.7%

Draw or Sampdoria

52.4%

—

57.0%

Over 1.5 goals

72.5%

—

72.3%

Under 1.5 goals

27.5%

—

27.7%

Over 2.5 goals

47.2%

48.7%

47.4%

Under 2.5 goals

52.8%

51.3%

52.6%

Over 3.5 goals

25.6%

—

26.1%

Under 3.5 goals

74.4%

—

73.9%

Both teams to score

50.8%

—

52.7%

Not both teams to score

49.2%

—

47.3%

Carrarese to score

77.8%

—

73.9%

Sampdoria to score

65.2%

—

64.5%

7.7%

8.1%

4.3%

1.5%

0.4%

0.1%

11.6%

12.3%

6.5%

2.3%

0.6%

0.1%

8.7%

9.2%

4.9%

1.7%

0.5%

0.1%

4.4%

4.6%

2.4%

0.9%

0.2%

0.0%

1.7%

0.9%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.5%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%