Serie BCalibrated

Mantova vs Hellas Verona

Saturday 7 November at 23:15 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Mantova win	39.7%	36.2%	41.1%
Draw	23.0%	27.7%	25.5%
Hellas Verona win	37.3%	36.1%	33.3%
Mantova or draw	62.7%	—	66.6%
Mantova or Hellas Verona	77.0%	—	74.5%
Draw or Hellas Verona	60.3%	—	58.8%
Over 1.5 goals	84.1%	—	78.1%
Under 1.5 goals	15.9%	—	21.9%
Over 2.5 goals	64.0%	54.0%	55.4%
Under 2.5 goals	36.0%	46.0%	44.6%
Over 3.5 goals	41.9%	—	32.7%
Under 3.5 goals	58.1%	—	67.3%
Both teams to score	65.2%	—	58.1%
Not both teams to score	34.8%	—	41.9%
Mantova to score	81.3%	—	75.0%
Hellas Verona to score	80.2%	—	69.4%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 3 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:37 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:20 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.7%	6.0%	4.8%	2.6%	1.1%	0.3%
1	6.2%	10.0%	8.1%	4.4%	1.8%	0.6%
2	5.2%	8.4%	6.8%	3.7%	1.5%	0.5%
3	2.9%	4.7%	3.8%	2.1%	0.8%	0.3%
4	1.2%	2.0%	1.6%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%
5	0.4%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.0%
2.2–18.4%
3.1–28.1%
4.2–26.8%
5.1–06.2%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.62. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

MantovaDLWLWD

Scored 7 · Conceded 8

Sat 31 Octat Modena FC1–1xG 0.76–1.57
Tue 27 Octat US Cremonese0–2xG 1.90–1.26
Sat 24 Octat Virtus Entella1–0xG 0.75–1.02
Sat 17 Octat Palermo FC0–2xG 1.61–1.53
Sun 11 Octat US Catanzaro3–1xG 2.35–1.39
Sun 20 Septat Pisa SC2–2xG 1.23–2.27

Hellas VeronaWWDDLW

Scored 12 · Conceded 7

Sun 1 Novat Carrarese Calcio3–0xG 1.03–1.03
Wed 28 Octat SS Juve Stabia1–0xG 1.58–0.95
Sun 25 Octat Pisa SC1–1xG 0.66–1.74
Fri 16 Octat US Catanzaro2–2xG 2.19–1.32
Sun 11 Octat Modena FC2–3xG 1.92–2.09
Fri 2 Octat Lugano3–1

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Mantova: −0.09 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 7 on 8.60 xG, conceded 8 on 9.05 xG against.

Hellas Verona: +0.55 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 9 on 7.39 xG, conceded 6 on 7.14 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Mantova win

39.7%

36.2%

41.1%

Draw

23.0%

27.7%

25.5%

Hellas Verona win

37.3%

36.1%

33.3%

Mantova or draw

62.7%

—

66.6%

Mantova or Hellas Verona

77.0%

—

74.5%

Draw or Hellas Verona

60.3%

—

58.8%

Over 1.5 goals

84.1%

—

78.1%

Under 1.5 goals

15.9%

—

21.9%

Over 2.5 goals

64.0%

54.0%

55.4%

Under 2.5 goals

36.0%

46.0%

44.6%

Over 3.5 goals

41.9%

—

32.7%

Under 3.5 goals

58.1%

—

67.3%

Both teams to score

65.2%

—

58.1%

Not both teams to score

34.8%

—

41.9%

Mantova to score

81.3%

—

75.0%

Hellas Verona to score

80.2%

—

69.4%

3.7%

6.0%

4.8%

2.6%

1.1%

0.3%

6.2%

10.0%

8.1%

4.4%

1.8%

0.6%

5.2%

8.4%

6.8%

3.7%

1.5%

0.5%

2.9%

4.7%

3.8%

2.1%

0.8%

0.3%

1.2%

2.0%

1.6%

0.9%

0.4%

0.1%

0.4%

0.7%

0.5%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%