Serie BCalibrated

Virtus Entella vs Modena

Sunday 8 November at 21:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Virtus Entella win	31.3%	31.3%	31.7%
Draw	28.4%	28.9%	29.1%
Modena win	40.3%	39.8%	39.1%
Virtus Entella or draw	59.7%	—	60.9%
Virtus Entella or Modena	71.6%	—	70.9%
Draw or Modena	68.7%	—	68.3%
Over 1.5 goals	66.3%	—	66.7%
Under 1.5 goals	33.7%	—	33.3%
Over 2.5 goals	39.7%	44.7%	40.1%
Under 2.5 goals	60.3%	55.3%	59.9%
Over 3.5 goals	19.5%	—	19.6%
Under 3.5 goals	80.5%	—	80.4%
Both teams to score	45.9%	—	48.1%
Not both teams to score	54.1%	—	51.9%
Virtus Entella to score	64.9%	—	64.1%
Modena to score	70.7%	—	69.1%

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:30 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10.3%	12.6%	7.8%	3.2%	1.0%	0.2%
1	10.8%	13.2%	8.1%	3.3%	1.0%	0.3%
2	5.6%	6.9%	4.2%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
3	2.0%	2.4%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%
4	0.5%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
5	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–113.2%
2.0–112.6%
3.1–010.8%
4.0–010.3%
5.1–28.1%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.05 – 1.23. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Virtus EntellaLDLWDD

Scored 5 · Conceded 7

Sat 31 Octat UC Sampdoria0–2xG 0.64–0.50
Tue 27 Octat Avellino1–1xG 0.87–1.01
Sat 24 Octat Mantova 19110–1xG 1.02–0.75
Sat 17 Octat Padova2–1xG 2.05–0.52
Sat 10 Octat SS Juve Stabia1–1xG 1.14–0.89
Fri 2 Octat Parma Calcio1–1

ModenaDWWLWW

Scored 12 · Conceded 7

Sat 31 Octat Mantova 19111–1xG 1.57–0.76
Tue 27 Octat Vicenza2–1xG 0.73–0.23
Sat 24 Octat Cesena FC3–0xG 2.30–0.32
Sat 17 Octat Carrarese Calcio1–2xG 1.56–1.41
Sun 11 Octat Hellas Verona3–2xG 2.09–1.92
Sun 20 Septat Empoli FC2–1xG 2.22–0.68

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Virtus Entella: −0.81 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 4 on 5.71 xG, conceded 6 on 3.66 xG against.

Modena: −0.02 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 12 on 10.47 xG, conceded 7 on 5.34 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Virtus Entella win

31.3%

31.7%

Draw

28.4%

28.9%

29.1%

Modena win

40.3%

39.8%

39.1%

Virtus Entella or draw

59.7%

—

60.9%

Virtus Entella or Modena

71.6%

—

70.9%

Draw or Modena

68.7%

—

68.3%

Over 1.5 goals

66.3%

—

66.7%

Under 1.5 goals

33.7%

—

33.3%

Over 2.5 goals

39.7%

44.7%

40.1%

Under 2.5 goals

60.3%

55.3%

59.9%

Over 3.5 goals

19.5%

—

19.6%

Under 3.5 goals

80.5%

—

80.4%

Both teams to score

45.9%

—

48.1%

Not both teams to score

54.1%

—

51.9%

Virtus Entella to score

64.9%

—

64.1%

Modena to score

70.7%

—

69.1%

10.3%

12.6%

7.8%

3.2%

1.0%

0.2%

10.8%

13.2%

8.1%

3.3%

1.0%

0.3%

5.6%

6.9%

4.2%

1.7%

0.5%

0.1%

2.0%

2.4%

1.5%

0.6%

0.2%

0.0%

0.5%

0.6%

0.4%

0.2%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%