Super LeagueCalibrated

AEK Athens vs Levadiakos

Sunday 8 November at 22:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
AEK Athens win	69.4%	81.7%	70.2%
Draw	18.4%	12.9%	19.2%
Levadiakos win	12.2%	5.4%	10.6%
AEK Athens or draw	87.8%	—	89.4%
AEK Athens or Levadiakos	81.6%	—	80.8%
Draw or Levadiakos	30.6%	—	29.8%
Over 1.5 goals	80.1%	—	76.0%
Under 1.5 goals	19.9%	—	24.0%
Over 2.5 goals	57.8%	61.2%	52.7%
Under 2.5 goals	42.2%	38.9%	47.3%
Over 3.5 goals	35.4%	—	33.4%
Under 3.5 goals	64.6%	—	66.6%
Both teams to score	49.0%	—	41.3%
Not both teams to score	51.0%	—	58.7%
AEK Athens to score	89.0%	—	86.9%
Levadiakos to score	55.1%	—	40.5%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 2 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:35 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:31 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5.0%	4.0%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
1	10.9%	8.8%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
2	12.0%	9.6%	3.9%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
3	8.8%	7.1%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
4	4.9%	3.9%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
5	2.1%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

1.2–012.0%
2.1–010.9%
3.2–19.6%
4.3–08.8%
5.1–18.8%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.20 – 0.80. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

AEK AthensLLWWLL

Scored 14 · Conceded 13

Wed 4 Novat Real Madrid2–3xG 1.16–3.59
Sun 1 Novat Panathinaikos0–2xG 1.26–0.80
Sat 24 Octat Panaitolikos5–0xG 3.81–0.37
Sat 24 Octat Panetolikos5–0xG 3.94–0.29
Tue 20 Octat Manchester City1–5xG 0.57–2.21
Wed 14 Octat Shakhtar Donetsk1–3xG 1.26–1.33

LevadiakosWDDLLD

Scored 3 · Conceded 3

Sun 1 Novat Aris3–0xG 2.26–0.50
Sat 24 Octat Asteras Tripolis0–0xG 0.45–0.65
Sat 17 Octat Volos NFC0–0xG 1.17–0.36
Sun 11 Octat Iraklis 1908 FC0–2xG 0.82–0.78
Sun 20 Septat Olympiacos F.C.0–1xG 0.54–1.31
Sun 13 Septat Kifisia0–0xG 0.48–1.57

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

AEK Athens: −0.40 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 14 on 12.00 xG, conceded 13 on 8.59 xG against.

Levadiakos: −0.09 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 3 on 5.70 xG, conceded 3 on 5.17 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

AEK Athens win

69.4%

81.7%

70.2%

Draw

18.4%

12.9%

19.2%

Levadiakos win

12.2%

5.4%

10.6%

AEK Athens or draw

87.8%

—

89.4%

AEK Athens or Levadiakos

81.6%

—

80.8%

Draw or Levadiakos

30.6%

—

29.8%

Over 1.5 goals

80.1%

—

76.0%

Under 1.5 goals

19.9%

—

24.0%

Over 2.5 goals

57.8%

61.2%

52.7%

Under 2.5 goals

42.2%

38.9%

47.3%

Over 3.5 goals

35.4%

—

33.4%

Under 3.5 goals

64.6%

—

66.6%

Both teams to score

49.0%

—

41.3%

Not both teams to score

51.0%

—

58.7%

AEK Athens to score

89.0%

—

86.9%

Levadiakos to score

55.1%

—

40.5%

5.0%

4.0%

1.6%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

10.9%

8.8%

3.5%

0.9%

0.2%

0.0%

12.0%

9.6%

3.9%

1.0%

0.2%

0.0%

8.8%

7.1%

2.8%

0.8%

0.2%

0.0%

4.9%

3.9%

1.6%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

2.1%

1.7%

0.7%

0.2%

0.0%