Super LeagueCalibrated

Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata

Sunday 8 November at 22:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Asteras Tripolis win	38.7%	46.5%	38.6%
Draw	24.2%	27.2%	28.1%
Kalamata win	37.1%	26.3%	33.3%
Asteras Tripolis or draw	62.9%	—	66.7%
Asteras Tripolis or Kalamata	75.8%	—	71.9%
Draw or Kalamata	61.3%	—	61.4%
Over 1.5 goals	80.3%	—	69.3%
Under 1.5 goals	19.7%	—	30.7%
Over 2.5 goals	58.0%	46.1%	44.2%
Under 2.5 goals	42.0%	53.9%	55.8%
Over 3.5 goals	35.6%	—	22.7%
Under 3.5 goals	64.4%	—	77.3%
Both teams to score	60.6%	—	47.8%
Not both teams to score	39.4%	—	52.2%
Asteras Tripolis to score	78.3%	—	69.4%
Kalamata to score	77.5%	—	65.8%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 10 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:30 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.9%	7.3%	5.4%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
1	7.5%	11.1%	8.3%	4.1%	1.5%	0.5%
2	5.7%	8.5%	6.3%	3.1%	1.2%	0.3%
3	2.9%	4.3%	3.2%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%
4	1.1%	1.6%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%
5	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–111.1%
2.2–18.5%
3.1–28.3%
4.1–07.5%
5.0–17.3%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.53 – 1.49. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Asteras TripolisLDDLWD

Scored 6 · Conceded 10

Sun 1 Novat PAOK1–2xG 0.85–1.86
Sat 24 Octat Levadiakos0–0xG 0.65–0.45
Sat 24 Octat Levadeiakos0–0xG 0.64–0.41
Sun 18 Octat Panathinaikos1–5xG 0.77–4.41
Sat 10 Octat Atromitos2–1xG 0.97–0.77
Sun 20 Septat OFI2–2xG 0.82–1.09

KalamataDDLLWW

Scored 10 · Conceded 18

Mon 2 Novat Iraklis 1908 FC1–1xG 2.13–1.22
Mon 2 Novat Iraklis1–1xG 2.41–0.97
Sun 25 Octat Olympiacos F.C.0–5xG 0.40–2.89
Sun 25 Octat Olympiacos0–5xG 0.35–2.78
Sun 18 Octat OFI4–3xG 1.13–1.17
Sun 18 Octat OFI Crete4–3xG 1.75–1.96

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Asteras Tripolis: +0.05 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 6 on 4.69 xG, conceded 10 on 8.98 xG against.

Kalamata: −0.86 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 10 on 8.17 xG, conceded 18 on 10.99 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Asteras Tripolis win

38.7%

46.5%

38.6%

Draw

24.2%

27.2%

28.1%

Kalamata win

37.1%

26.3%

33.3%

Asteras Tripolis or draw

62.9%

—

66.7%

Asteras Tripolis or Kalamata

75.8%

—

71.9%

Draw or Kalamata

61.3%

—

61.4%

Over 1.5 goals

80.3%

—

69.3%

Under 1.5 goals

19.7%

—

30.7%

Over 2.5 goals

58.0%

46.1%

44.2%

Under 2.5 goals

42.0%

53.9%

55.8%

Over 3.5 goals

35.6%

—

22.7%

Under 3.5 goals

64.4%

—

77.3%

Both teams to score

60.6%

—

47.8%

Not both teams to score

39.4%

—

52.2%

Asteras Tripolis to score

78.3%

—

69.4%

Kalamata to score

77.5%

—

65.8%

4.9%

7.3%

5.4%

2.7%

1.0%

0.3%

7.5%

11.1%

8.3%

4.1%

1.5%

0.5%

5.7%

8.5%

6.3%

3.1%

1.2%

0.3%

2.9%

4.3%

3.2%

1.6%

0.6%

0.2%

1.1%

1.6%

1.2%

0.6%

0.2%

0.1%

0.3%

0.5%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%