Super LeagueCalibrated

Olympiacos F.C. vs PAOK

Monday 9 November at 02:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Olympiacos F.C. win	57.3%	57.9%	54.3%
Draw	22.7%	23.4%	24.9%
PAOK win	19.9%	18.8%	20.8%
Olympiacos F.C. or draw	80.1%	—	79.3%
Olympiacos F.C. or PAOK	77.3%	—	75.1%
Draw or PAOK	42.7%	—	45.7%
Over 1.5 goals	77.1%	—	75.3%
Under 1.5 goals	22.9%	—	24.7%
Over 2.5 goals	53.4%	52.8%	51.1%
Under 2.5 goals	46.6%	47.2%	48.9%
Over 3.5 goals	31.1%	—	29.3%
Under 3.5 goals	68.9%	—	70.7%
Both teams to score	52.5%	—	52.0%
Not both teams to score	47.5%	—	48.0%
Olympiacos F.C. to score	84.0%	—	81.2%
PAOK to score	62.5%	—	57.2%

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:37 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:41 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.0%	5.9%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
1	11.0%	10.8%	5.3%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
2	10.1%	9.9%	4.8%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
3	6.2%	6.0%	3.0%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
4	2.8%	2.8%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
5	1.0%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–011.0%
2.1–110.8%
3.2–010.1%
4.2–19.9%
5.3–06.2%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.83 – 0.98. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Olympiacos F.C.DWWWWW

Scored 12 · Conceded 2

Wed 4 Novat Stade Rennais0–0xG 0.89–0.76
Sat 31 Octat Kifisia3–2xG 1.20–1.73
Sun 25 Octat Kalamata5–0xG 2.89–0.40
Thu 22 Octat Sparta Praha1–0xG 2.32–1.02
Sun 18 Octat Panaitolikos2–0xG 2.66–1.24
Thu 15 Octat Olympique Marseille1–0xG 0.71–0.77

PAOKWLLWWL

Scored 9 · Conceded 10

Sun 1 Novat Asteras Tripolis2–1xG 1.86–0.85
Sun 25 Octat OFI1–2xG 2.57–2.03
Sun 25 Octat OFI Crete1–2xG 2.20–2.79
Sun 18 Octat Iraklis 1908 FC2–1xG 2.06–0.73
Sun 18 Octat Iraklis2–1xG 2.02–0.78
Mon 12 Octat Kalamata1–3xG 1.65–1.74

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Olympiacos F.C.: +0.87 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 12 on 10.68 xG, conceded 2 on 5.92 xG against.

PAOK: −0.74 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 12.35 xG, conceded 10 on 8.91 xG against.

Note: Olympiacos F.C. are overperforming against xG while PAOK are underperforming — recent results and the numbers disagree here.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Olympiacos F.C. win

57.3%

57.9%

54.3%

Draw

22.7%

23.4%

24.9%

PAOK win

19.9%

18.8%

20.8%

Olympiacos F.C. or draw

80.1%

—

79.3%

Olympiacos F.C. or PAOK

77.3%

—

75.1%

Draw or PAOK

42.7%

—

45.7%

Over 1.5 goals

77.1%

—

75.3%

Under 1.5 goals

22.9%

—

24.7%

Over 2.5 goals

53.4%

52.8%

51.1%

Under 2.5 goals

46.6%

47.2%

48.9%

Over 3.5 goals

31.1%

—

29.3%

Under 3.5 goals

68.9%

—

70.7%

Both teams to score

52.5%

—

52.0%

Not both teams to score

47.5%

—

48.0%

Olympiacos F.C. to score

84.0%

—

81.2%

PAOK to score

62.5%

—

57.2%

6.0%

5.9%

2.9%

0.9%

0.2%

0.0%

11.0%

10.8%

5.3%

1.7%

0.4%

0.1%

10.1%

9.9%

4.8%

1.6%

0.4%

0.1%

6.2%

6.0%

3.0%

1.0%

0.2%

0.0%

2.8%

1.4%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

1.0%

0.5%

0.2%

0.0%