Super LeagueCalibrated

OFI vs Atromitos

Sunday 8 November at 23:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
OFI win	35.9%	44.8%	36.7%
Draw	25.1%	27.7%	26.3%
Atromitos win	39.0%	27.5%	37.0%
OFI or draw	61.0%	—	63.0%
OFI or Atromitos	74.9%	—	73.7%
Draw or Atromitos	64.1%	—	63.3%
Over 1.5 goals	77.4%	—	76.8%
Under 1.5 goals	22.6%	—	23.1%
Over 2.5 goals	53.8%	47.5%	53.4%
Under 2.5 goals	46.2%	52.5%	46.6%
Over 3.5 goals	31.5%	—	32.0%
Under 3.5 goals	68.5%	—	68.0%
Both teams to score	57.3%	—	57.4%
Not both teams to score	42.7%	—	42.6%
OFI to score	74.9%	—	71.2%
Atromitos to score	76.5%	—	70.8%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 1 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:36 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:33 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5.9%	8.5%	6.2%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
1	8.1%	11.8%	8.6%	4.1%	1.5%	0.4%
2	5.6%	8.2%	5.9%	2.9%	1.0%	0.3%
3	2.6%	3.8%	2.7%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.9%	1.3%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%
5	0.2%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–111.8%
2.1–28.6%
3.0–18.5%
4.2–18.2%
5.1–08.1%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.45. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

OFIWWWLLL

Scored 9 · Conceded 9

Thu 5 Novat Hapoel Be'er Sheva2–0xG 0.87–1.53
Sun 1 Novat Panaitolikos1–0xG 1.34–0.76
Sun 25 Octat PAOK2–1xG 2.03–2.57
Thu 22 Octat Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–2xG 0.28–2.97
Sun 18 Octat Kalamata3–4xG 1.17–1.13
Thu 15 Octat Stade Rennais1–2xG 0.06–1.64

AtromitosWLLLDD

Scored 8 · Conceded 9

Mon 2 Novat Volos NFC3–0xG 1.87–0.32
Sun 25 Octat Aris1–3xG 0.51–0.83
Sat 10 Octat Asteras Tripolis1–2xG 0.77–0.97
Sat 19 Septat Kifisia1–2xG 1.29–1.73
Sat 12 Septat Iraklis 1908 FC1–1xG 1.70–0.65
Sat 12 Septat Iraklis1–1xG 1.70–0.90

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

OFI: +0.81 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 5.76 xG, conceded 9 on 10.60 xG against.

Atromitos: −0.57 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 8 on 7.82 xG, conceded 9 on 5.40 xG against.

Note: OFI are overperforming against xG while Atromitos are underperforming — recent results and the numbers disagree here.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

OFI win

35.9%

44.8%

36.7%

Draw

25.1%

27.7%

26.3%

Atromitos win

39.0%

27.5%

37.0%

OFI or draw

61.0%

—

63.0%

OFI or Atromitos

74.9%

—

73.7%

Draw or Atromitos

64.1%

—

63.3%

Over 1.5 goals

77.4%

—

76.8%

Under 1.5 goals

22.6%

—

23.1%

Over 2.5 goals

53.8%

47.5%

53.4%

Under 2.5 goals

46.2%

52.5%

46.6%

Over 3.5 goals

31.5%

—

32.0%

Under 3.5 goals

68.5%

—

68.0%

Both teams to score

57.3%

—

57.4%

Not both teams to score

42.7%

—

42.6%

OFI to score

74.9%

—

71.2%

Atromitos to score

76.5%

—

70.8%

5.9%

8.5%

6.2%

3.0%

1.1%

0.3%

8.1%

11.8%

8.6%

4.1%

1.5%

0.4%

5.6%

8.2%

5.9%

2.9%

1.0%

0.3%

2.6%

3.8%

2.7%

1.3%

0.5%

0.1%

0.9%

1.3%

0.9%

0.5%

0.2%

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%