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Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar

Sunday 8 November at 11:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Macarthur win	49.2%	38.7%	44.0%
Draw	23.2%	25.6%	24.7%
Brisbane Roar win	27.5%	35.6%	31.3%
Macarthur or draw	72.5%	—	68.7%
Macarthur or Brisbane Roar	76.8%	—	75.3%
Draw or Brisbane Roar	50.8%	—	56.1%
Over 1.5 goals	81.0%	—	80.3%
Under 1.5 goals	19.0%	—	19.7%
Over 2.5 goals	59.0%	54.4%	58.9%
Under 2.5 goals	41.0%	45.6%	41.1%
Over 3.5 goals	36.6%	—	37.0%
Under 3.5 goals	63.4%	—	63.0%
Both teams to score	60.0%	—	60.1%
Not both teams to score	40.0%	—	39.9%
Macarthur to score	83.2%	—	77.0%
Brisbane Roar to score	72.2%	—	68.2%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 1 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:02 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:25 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.7%	6.0%	3.8%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
1	8.3%	10.7%	6.8%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
2	7.4%	9.5%	6.1%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
3	4.4%	5.7%	3.6%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.0%	2.5%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%
5	0.7%	0.9%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.7%
2.2–19.5%
3.1–08.3%
4.2–07.4%
5.1–26.8%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.78 – 1.28. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league has not passed calibration checks yet.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

MacarthurDDWLWL

Scored 8 · Conceded 6

Sat 31 Octat Western Sydney Wanderers0–0xG 0.57–1.56
Sat 24 Octat Newcastle Jets1–1xG 0.72–1.26
Sat 17 Octat Perth Glory2–1xG 1.44–1.28
Sat 22 Augat Western Sydney Wanderers0–1
Fri 24 Aprat Wellington Phoenix4–0xG 2.70–1.21
Sun 19 Aprat Adelaide United1–3xG 0.76–2.08

Brisbane RoarDWWWLL

Scored 10 · Conceded 14

Fri 30 Octat Auckland1–1xG 1.38–0.84
Fri 23 Octat Perth Glory2–1xG 1.53–0.83
Sun 11 Octat Broadmeadow Magic3–1
Fri 4 Septat Olympic FC Brisbane4–3
Sat 29 Augat Persija0–4
Thu 27 Augat Dewa United0–4

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Macarthur: +0.84 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 8 on 6.19 xG, conceded 5 on 7.38 xG against.

Brisbane Roar: −0.12 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 2 games: scored 3 on 2.91 xG, conceded 2 on 1.68 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Macarthur win

49.2%

38.7%

44.0%

Draw

23.2%

25.6%

24.7%

Brisbane Roar win

27.5%

35.6%

31.3%

Macarthur or draw

72.5%

—

68.7%

Macarthur or Brisbane Roar

76.8%

—

75.3%

Draw or Brisbane Roar

50.8%

—

56.1%

Over 1.5 goals

81.0%

—

80.3%

Under 1.5 goals

19.0%

—

19.7%

Over 2.5 goals

59.0%

54.4%

58.9%

Under 2.5 goals

41.0%

45.6%

41.1%

Over 3.5 goals

36.6%

—

37.0%

Under 3.5 goals

63.4%

—

63.0%

Both teams to score

60.0%

—

60.1%

Not both teams to score

40.0%

—

39.9%

Macarthur to score

83.2%

—

77.0%

Brisbane Roar to score

72.2%

—

68.2%

4.7%

6.0%

3.8%

1.6%

0.5%

0.1%

8.3%

10.7%

6.8%

2.9%

0.9%

0.2%

7.4%

9.5%

6.1%

2.6%

0.8%

0.2%

4.4%

5.7%

3.6%

1.5%

0.5%

0.1%

2.0%

2.5%

1.6%

0.7%

0.2%

0.1%

0.7%

0.9%

0.6%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%