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Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory

Sunday 8 November at 13:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Adelaide United win	34.2%	33.0%	40.8%
Draw	23.5%	26.3%	24.2%
Melbourne Victory win	42.3%	40.8%	35.1%
Adelaide United or draw	57.7%	—	65.0%
Adelaide United or Melbourne Victory	76.5%	—	75.9%
Draw or Melbourne Victory	65.8%	—	59.2%
Over 1.5 goals	82.4%	—	81.5%
Under 1.5 goals	17.6%	—	18.5%
Over 2.5 goals	61.3%	58.8%	60.4%
Under 2.5 goals	38.7%	41.2%	39.6%
Over 3.5 goals	38.9%	—	37.5%
Under 3.5 goals	61.1%	—	62.5%
Both teams to score	62.9%	—	61.0%
Not both teams to score	37.1%	—	39.0%
Adelaide United to score	77.4%	—	75.6%
Melbourne Victory to score	81.3%	—	71.7%

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:02 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:26 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.2%	7.1%	5.9%	3.3%	1.4%	0.5%
1	6.3%	10.5%	8.8%	4.9%	2.1%	0.7%
2	4.7%	7.8%	6.6%	3.7%	1.5%	0.5%
3	2.3%	3.9%	3.3%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.9%	1.4%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%
5	0.3%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.5%
2.1–28.8%
3.2–17.8%
4.0–17.1%
5.2–26.6%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.68. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league has not passed calibration checks yet.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Adelaide UnitedLLLLWW

Scored 6 · Conceded 15

Thu 5 Novat Lion City Sailors FC0–5
Sun 1 Novat Perth Glory0–4xG 0.75–2.95
Thu 29 Octat Lion City Sailors FC0–2
Sun 25 Octat Sydney1–2xG 1.10–2.11
Thu 15 Octat BG Pathum United2–1
Sat 3 Octat Perth Glory3–1

Melbourne VictoryLDLDLW

Scored 7 · Conceded 8

Wed 4 Novat Persib1–2
Sun 1 Novat Central Coast Mariners1–1xG 0.45–0.89
Wed 28 Octat Persib0–2
Sat 24 Octat Melbourne City1–1xG 0.69–1.87
Sun 18 Octat Wellington Phoenix1–2xG 0.65–0.83
Wed 14 Octat Seoul3–0

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Adelaide United: −0.90 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 2 games: scored 1 on 1.85 xG, conceded 6 on 5.06 xG against.

Melbourne Victory: +0.27 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 3 games: scored 3 on 1.79 xG, conceded 4 on 3.59 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Adelaide United win

34.2%

33.0%

40.8%

Draw

23.5%

26.3%

24.2%

Melbourne Victory win

42.3%

40.8%

35.1%

Adelaide United or draw

57.7%

—

65.0%

Adelaide United or Melbourne Victory

76.5%

—

75.9%

Draw or Melbourne Victory

65.8%

—

59.2%

Over 1.5 goals

82.4%

—

81.5%

Under 1.5 goals

17.6%

—

18.5%

Over 2.5 goals

61.3%

58.8%

60.4%

Under 2.5 goals

38.7%

41.2%

39.6%

Over 3.5 goals

38.9%

—

37.5%

Under 3.5 goals

61.1%

—

62.5%

Both teams to score

62.9%

—

61.0%

Not both teams to score

37.1%

—

39.0%

Adelaide United to score

77.4%

—

75.6%

Melbourne Victory to score

81.3%

—

71.7%

4.2%

7.1%

5.9%

3.3%

1.4%

0.5%

6.3%

10.5%

8.8%

4.9%

2.1%

0.7%

4.7%

7.8%

6.6%

3.7%

1.5%

0.5%

2.3%

3.9%

3.3%

1.8%

0.8%

0.3%

0.9%

1.4%

1.2%

0.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.3%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%