Super LigCalibrated

Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor

Sunday 8 November at 22:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Alanyaspor win	19.3%	19.2%	27.7%
Draw	21.8%	23.1%	24.7%
Trabzonspor win	58.9%	57.7%	47.7%
Alanyaspor or draw	41.1%	—	52.4%
Alanyaspor or Trabzonspor	78.2%	—	75.3%
Draw or Trabzonspor	80.7%	—	72.4%
Over 1.5 goals	79.2%	—	78.9%
Under 1.5 goals	20.8%	—	21.1%
Over 2.5 goals	56.4%	55.3%	56.5%
Under 2.5 goals	43.6%	44.7%	43.5%
Over 3.5 goals	34.0%	—	34.3%
Under 3.5 goals	66.0%	—	65.7%
Both teams to score	54.4%	—	58.3%
Not both teams to score	45.6%	—	41.7%
Alanyaspor to score	63.6%	—	65.1%
Trabzonspor to score	85.5%	—	78.8%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 2 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:31 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5.3%	10.2%	9.8%	6.3%	3.1%	1.2%
1	5.3%	10.3%	9.9%	6.4%	3.1%	1.2%
2	2.7%	5.2%	5.0%	3.2%	1.6%	0.6%
3	0.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%
5	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–110.3%
2.0–110.2%
3.1–29.9%
4.0–29.8%
5.1–36.4%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.01 – 1.93. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

AlanyasporLLLDDW

Scored 3 · Conceded 11

Mon 2 Novat Genclerbirligi0–5xG 0.35–1.60
Fri 23 Octat Kocaelispor1–2xG 0.68–2.09
Sat 17 Octat Fenerbahce0–3xG 0.75–4.14
Sat 10 Octat Erzurumspor FK0–0xG 1.08–1.54
Sat 10 Octat Erzurumspor0–0xG 0.98–1.69
Sat 19 Septat Corum FK2–1xG 1.17–1.58

TrabzonsporLWWWWW

Scored 12 · Conceded 4

Thu 5 Novat SC Freiburg0–1xG 1.31–1.00
Sun 1 Novat Gaziantep F.K.2–0xG 1.37–0.80
Sun 1 Novat Gaziantep2–0xG 1.37–0.51
Mon 26 Octat Rizespor4–3xG 2.59–1.53
Thu 22 Octat Hearts2–0xG 1.98–0.59
Mon 19 Octat Besiktas2–0xG 2.00–1.48

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Alanyaspor: −0.06 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 3 on 5.00 xG, conceded 11 on 12.64 xG against.

Trabzonspor: +0.55 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 12 on 10.61 xG, conceded 4 on 5.92 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Alanyaspor win

19.3%

19.2%

27.7%

Draw

21.8%

23.1%

24.7%

Trabzonspor win

58.9%

57.7%

47.7%

Alanyaspor or draw

41.1%

—

52.4%

Alanyaspor or Trabzonspor

78.2%

—

75.3%

Draw or Trabzonspor

80.7%

—

72.4%

Over 1.5 goals

79.2%

—

78.9%

Under 1.5 goals

20.8%

—

21.1%

Over 2.5 goals

56.4%

55.3%

56.5%

Under 2.5 goals

43.6%

44.7%

43.5%

Over 3.5 goals

34.0%

—

34.3%

Under 3.5 goals

66.0%

—

65.7%

Both teams to score

54.4%

—

58.3%

Not both teams to score

45.6%

—

41.7%

Alanyaspor to score

63.6%

—

65.1%

Trabzonspor to score

85.5%

—

78.8%

5.3%

10.2%

9.8%

6.3%

3.1%

1.2%

5.3%

10.3%

9.9%

6.4%

3.1%

1.2%

2.7%

5.2%

5.0%

3.2%

1.6%

0.6%

0.9%

1.7%

1.1%

0.5%

0.2%

0.4%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%