Super LigCalibrated

Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK

Sunday 8 November at 17:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Rizespor win	49.2%	48.6%	41.3%
Draw	25.2%	26.0%	26.8%
Erzurumspor FK win	25.6%	25.5%	32.0%
Rizespor or draw	74.4%	—	68.0%
Rizespor or Erzurumspor FK	74.8%	—	73.3%
Draw or Erzurumspor FK	50.8%	—	58.8%
Over 1.5 goals	74.0%	—	75.6%
Under 1.5 goals	26.0%	—	24.4%
Over 2.5 goals	49.2%	52.2%	51.6%
Under 2.5 goals	50.8%	47.8%	48.4%
Over 3.5 goals	27.3%	—	29.9%
Under 3.5 goals	72.7%	—	70.1%
Both teams to score	51.9%	—	56.0%
Not both teams to score	48.1%	—	44.0%
Rizespor to score	79.3%	—	74.1%
Erzurumspor FK to score	65.5%	—	67.5%

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:37 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:26 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.1%	7.6%	4.0%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
1	11.2%	12.0%	6.4%	2.3%	0.6%	0.1%
2	8.9%	9.4%	5.0%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
3	4.7%	5.0%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%	0.1%
4	1.8%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
5	0.6%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–112.0%
2.1–011.2%
3.2–19.4%
4.2–08.9%
5.0–17.6%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.06. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

RizesporDLLLLW

Scored 8 · Conceded 11

Sat 31 Octat Kocaelispor0–0xG 2.17–0.72
Mon 26 Octat Trabzonspor3–4xG 1.53–2.59
Fri 16 Octat Corum FK1–2xG 0.86–1.09
Fri 16 Octat Corum1–2xG 0.84–0.71
Sat 10 Octat Fenerbahce0–3xG 1.67–1.23
Sat 3 Octat Boluspor3–0

Erzurumspor FKLWWDWL

Scored 7 · Conceded 7

Sat 31 Octat Corum FK1–3xG 1.00–1.16
Sat 24 Octat Gaziantep F.K.3–1xG 1.28–1.74
Sat 17 Octat Eyupspor2–0xG 0.81–0.55
Sat 10 Octat Alanyaspor0–0xG 1.54–1.08
Sun 20 Septat Samsunspor1–0xG 0.67–0.47
Fri 11 Septat Besiktas0–3xG 0.37–2.08

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Rizespor: −1.35 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 5 on 7.07 xG, conceded 11 on 6.33 xG against.

Erzurumspor FK: +0.23 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 7 on 5.68 xG, conceded 7 on 7.07 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Rizespor win

49.2%

48.6%

41.3%

Draw

25.2%

26.0%

26.8%

Erzurumspor FK win

25.6%

25.5%

32.0%

Rizespor or draw

74.4%

—

68.0%

Rizespor or Erzurumspor FK

74.8%

—

73.3%

Draw or Erzurumspor FK

50.8%

—

58.8%

Over 1.5 goals

74.0%

—

75.6%

Under 1.5 goals

26.0%

—

24.4%

Over 2.5 goals

49.2%

52.2%

51.6%

Under 2.5 goals

50.8%

47.8%

48.4%

Over 3.5 goals

27.3%

—

29.9%

Under 3.5 goals

72.7%

—

70.1%

Both teams to score

51.9%

—

56.0%

Not both teams to score

48.1%

—

44.0%

Rizespor to score

79.3%

—

74.1%

Erzurumspor FK to score

65.5%

—

67.5%

7.1%

7.6%

4.0%

1.4%

0.4%

0.1%

11.2%

12.0%

6.4%

2.3%

0.6%

0.1%

8.9%

9.4%

5.0%

1.8%

0.5%

0.1%

4.7%

5.0%

2.6%

0.9%

0.2%

0.1%

1.8%

2.0%

1.0%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

0.6%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%