Super LigCalibrated

Çorum FK vs Fenerbahçe

Sunday 8 November at 20:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Çorum FK win	37.9%	22.8%	35.1%
Draw	21.5%	23.4%	25.0%
Fenerbahçe win	40.7%	53.8%	39.9%
Çorum FK or draw	59.3%	—	60.1%
Çorum FK or Fenerbahçe	78.5%	—	75.0%
Draw or Fenerbahçe	62.1%	—	64.9%
Over 1.5 goals	88.7%	—	81.0%
Under 1.5 goals	11.3%	—	19.0%
Over 2.5 goals	72.1%	58.9%	59.0%
Under 2.5 goals	27.9%	41.1%	41.0%
Over 3.5 goals	51.3%	—	36.1%
Under 3.5 goals	48.7%	—	63.9%
Both teams to score	71.5%	—	60.5%
Not both teams to score	28.5%	—	39.5%
Çorum FK to score	84.0%	—	71.7%
Fenerbahçe to score	85.1%	—	74.9%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 10 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:34 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:28 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	2.4%	4.5%	4.3%	2.7%	1.3%	0.5%
1	4.4%	8.3%	7.9%	5.0%	2.4%	0.9%
2	4.0%	7.6%	7.3%	4.6%	2.2%	0.8%
3	2.4%	4.7%	4.4%	2.8%	1.3%	0.5%
4	1.1%	2.1%	2.0%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%
5	0.4%	0.8%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1.1–18.3%
2.1–27.9%
3.2–17.6%
4.2–27.3%
5.1–35.0%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.83 – 1.90. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Çorum FKWLWWLW

Scored 14 · Conceded 7

Sat 31 Octat Erzurumspor FK3–1xG 1.16–1.00
Sun 25 Octat Goztepe0–2xG 1.11–1.61
Fri 16 Octat Rizespor2–1xG 1.09–0.86
Sun 11 Octat Gaziantep F.K.3–0xG 2.12–0.97
Sat 19 Septat Alanyaspor1–2xG 1.58–1.17
Sat 12 Septat Samsunspor5–1xG 1.01–1.03

FenerbahçeWLLDWL

Scored 10 · Conceded 14

Wed 4 Novat Liverpool3–2xG 1.69–2.14
Sat 31 Octat Goztepe1–2xG 1.63–1.07
Mon 26 Octat Galatasaray1–2xG 0.49–2.12
Tue 20 Octat Slavia Praha2–2xG 1.10–1.32
Sat 17 Octat Alanyaspor3–0xG 4.14–0.75
Wed 14 Octat Aston Villa0–6xG 1.45–3.10

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Çorum FK: +0.93 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 14 on 8.07 xG, conceded 7 on 6.63 xG against.

Fenerbahçe: −0.67 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 10 on 10.51 xG, conceded 14 on 10.51 xG against.

Note: Çorum FK are overperforming against xG while Fenerbahçe are underperforming — recent results and the numbers disagree here.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Çorum FK win

37.9%

22.8%

35.1%

Draw

21.5%

23.4%

25.0%

Fenerbahçe win

40.7%

53.8%

39.9%

Çorum FK or draw

59.3%

—

60.1%

Çorum FK or Fenerbahçe

78.5%

—

75.0%

Draw or Fenerbahçe

62.1%

—

64.9%

Over 1.5 goals

88.7%

—

81.0%

Under 1.5 goals

11.3%

—

19.0%

Over 2.5 goals

72.1%

58.9%

59.0%

Under 2.5 goals

27.9%

41.1%

41.0%

Over 3.5 goals

51.3%

—

36.1%

Under 3.5 goals

48.7%

—

63.9%

Both teams to score

71.5%

—

60.5%

Not both teams to score

28.5%

—

39.5%

Çorum FK to score

84.0%

—

71.7%

Fenerbahçe to score

85.1%

—

74.9%

2.4%

4.5%

4.3%

2.7%

1.3%

0.5%

4.4%

8.3%

7.9%

5.0%

2.4%

0.9%

4.0%

7.6%

7.3%

4.6%

2.2%

0.8%

2.4%

4.7%

4.4%

2.8%

1.3%

0.5%

1.1%

2.1%

2.0%

1.3%

0.6%

0.2%

0.4%

0.8%

0.7%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%