Super LigCalibrated

Beşiktaş vs Gençlerbirliği

Monday 9 November at 01:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Beşiktaş win	68.2%	80.2%	75.3%
Draw	18.9%	12.5%	16.2%
Gençlerbirliği win	12.9%	7.3%	8.5%
Beşiktaş or draw	87.1%	—	91.5%
Beşiktaş or Gençlerbirliği	81.1%	—	83.8%
Draw or Gençlerbirliği	31.8%	—	24.7%
Over 1.5 goals	79.8%	—	80.7%
Under 1.5 goals	20.2%	—	19.3%
Over 2.5 goals	57.3%	69.5%	59.1%
Under 2.5 goals	42.7%	30.5%	40.9%
Over 3.5 goals	34.9%	—	36.5%
Under 3.5 goals	65.1%	—	63.5%
Both teams to score	49.5%	—	44.9%
Not both teams to score	50.5%	—	55.1%
Beşiktaş to score	88.5%	—	90.3%
Gençlerbirliği to score	55.9%	—	38.0%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 4 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:34 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5.1%	4.1%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
1	11.0%	9.0%	3.7%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
2	11.9%	9.7%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
3	8.6%	7.0%	2.9%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
4	4.6%	3.8%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
5	2.0%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

1.2–011.9%
2.1–011.0%
3.2–19.7%
4.1–19.0%
5.3–08.6%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.17 – 0.82. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

BeşiktaşLDDWWD

Scored 12 · Conceded 9

Thu 5 Novat Celtic2–3xG 2.44–0.93
Sun 1 Novat Kasımpasa2–2xG 1.19–1.30
Sun 1 Novat Kasimpasa2–2xG 1.26–1.33
Mon 26 Octat Istanbul Basaksehir2–0xG 2.07–0.56
Mon 26 Octat Buyuksehyr2–0xG 1.88–0.38
Thu 22 Octat Crystal Palace2–2xG 0.54–0.60

GençlerbirliğiWLLDDL

Scored 9 · Conceded 11

Mon 2 Novat Alanyaspor5–0xG 1.60–0.35
Sun 25 Octat Konyaspor0–2xG 1.48–1.91
Sat 17 Octat Galatasaray0–1xG 1.62–1.53
Sat 10 Octat Amed SK2–2xG 0.62–1.77
Sat 10 Octat Amedspor2–2xG 0.50–2.16
Sat 19 Septat Istanbul Basaksehir0–4xG 0.48–2.46

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Beşiktaş: −0.21 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 12 on 9.38 xG, conceded 9 on 5.10 xG against.

Gençlerbirliği: +0.32 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 6.29 xG, conceded 11 on 10.18 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Beşiktaş win

68.2%

80.2%

75.3%

Draw

18.9%

12.5%

16.2%

Gençlerbirliği win

12.9%

7.3%

8.5%

Beşiktaş or draw

87.1%

—

91.5%

Beşiktaş or Gençlerbirliği

81.1%

—

83.8%

Draw or Gençlerbirliği

31.8%

—

24.7%

Over 1.5 goals

79.8%

—

80.7%

Under 1.5 goals

20.2%

—

19.3%

Over 2.5 goals

57.3%

69.5%

59.1%

Under 2.5 goals

42.7%

30.5%

40.9%

Over 3.5 goals

34.9%

—

36.5%

Under 3.5 goals

65.1%

—

63.5%

Both teams to score

49.5%

—

44.9%

Not both teams to score

50.5%

—

55.1%

Beşiktaş to score

88.5%

—

90.3%

Gençlerbirliği to score

55.9%

—

38.0%

5.1%

4.1%

1.7%

0.5%

0.1%

0.0%

11.0%

9.0%

3.7%

1.0%

0.2%

0.0%

11.9%

9.7%

4.0%

1.1%

0.2%

0.0%

8.6%

7.0%

2.9%

0.8%

0.2%

0.0%

4.6%

3.8%

1.6%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

2.0%

1.6%

0.7%

0.2%

0.0%