La Liga 2Partial

Girona vs Almería

Sunday 8 November at 22:15 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Girona win	50.7%	46.5%	41.9%
Draw	23.0%	26.3%	26.1%
Almería win	26.4%	27.2%	32.0%
Girona or draw	73.6%	—	68.0%
Girona or Almería	77.0%	—	73.9%
Draw or Almería	49.3%	—	58.1%
Over 1.5 goals	81.1%	—	77.1%
Under 1.5 goals	18.9%	—	22.9%
Over 2.5 goals	59.3%	52.6%	53.5%
Under 2.5 goals	40.7%	47.4%	46.5%
Over 3.5 goals	36.9%	—	30.9%
Under 3.5 goals	63.1%	—	69.1%
Both teams to score	59.9%	—	56.8%
Not both teams to score	40.1%	—	43.2%
Girona to score	83.8%	—	75.1%
Almería to score	71.5%	—	68.7%

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:31 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.6%	5.8%	3.6%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
1	8.4%	10.6%	6.6%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%
2	7.7%	9.6%	6.0%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
3	4.6%	5.8%	3.7%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.1%	2.6%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%
5	0.8%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.6%
2.2–19.6%
3.1–08.4%
4.2–07.7%
5.1–26.6%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.82 – 1.25. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

GironaLLWWWW

Scored 14 · Conceded 4

Sat 31 Octat Real Sociedad II0–1xG 0.78–1.58
Sat 31 Octat Sociedad B0–1xG 0.52–1.37
Tue 27 Octat Cuarte Industrial2–0
Sat 24 Octat Celta Fortuna5–1xG 2.35–0.28
Sat 24 Octat Celta B5–1xG 3.23–0.67
Sun 18 Octat Andorra2–0xG 0.80–0.33

AlmeríaDDWWWW

Scored 16 · Conceded 8

Sat 31 Octat SD Eibar1–1xG 1.27–1.39
Sat 24 Octat Real Oviedo2–2xG 0.78–2.08
Sat 17 Octat Real Sociedad II4–2xG 1.18–1.52
Sat 17 Octat Sociedad B4–2xG 1.89–1.59
Sun 11 Octat CD Leganes3–0xG 1.50–0.53
Sat 3 Octat Burgos CF2–1xG 2.60–0.86

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Girona: +0.91 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 12 on 7.68 xG, conceded 4 on 4.23 xG against.

Almería: +1.13 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 16 on 9.22 xG, conceded 8 on 7.97 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Girona win

50.7%

46.5%

41.9%

Draw

23.0%

26.3%

26.1%

Almería win

26.4%

27.2%

32.0%

Girona or draw

73.6%

—

68.0%

Girona or Almería

77.0%

—

73.9%

Draw or Almería

49.3%

—

58.1%

Over 1.5 goals

81.1%

—

77.1%

Under 1.5 goals

18.9%

—

22.9%

Over 2.5 goals

59.3%

52.6%

53.5%

Under 2.5 goals

40.7%

47.4%

46.5%

Over 3.5 goals

36.9%

—

30.9%

Under 3.5 goals

63.1%

—

69.1%

Both teams to score

59.9%

—

56.8%

Not both teams to score

40.1%

—

43.2%

Girona to score

83.8%

—

75.1%

Almería to score

71.5%

—

68.7%

4.6%

5.8%

3.6%

1.5%

0.5%

0.1%

8.4%

10.6%

6.6%

2.8%

0.9%

0.2%

7.7%

9.6%

6.0%

2.5%

0.8%

0.2%

4.6%

5.8%

3.7%

1.5%

0.5%

0.1%

2.1%

2.6%

1.7%

0.7%

0.2%

0.1%

0.8%

1.0%

0.6%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%