La Liga 2Partial

Sporting Gijón vs Real Valladolid

Monday 9 November at 00:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Sporting Gijón win	51.9%	41.1%	46.2%
Draw	22.9%	28.3%	25.8%
Real Valladolid win	25.2%	30.5%	28.0%
Sporting Gijón or draw	74.8%	—	72.0%
Sporting Gijón or Real Valladolid	77.1%	—	74.2%
Draw or Real Valladolid	48.1%	—	53.8%
Over 1.5 goals	80.7%	—	73.4%
Under 1.5 goals	19.3%	—	26.6%
Over 2.5 goals	58.5%	44.7%	48.7%
Under 2.5 goals	41.5%	55.3%	51.3%
Over 3.5 goals	36.2%	—	26.0%
Under 3.5 goals	63.8%	—	74.0%
Both teams to score	58.9%	—	51.9%
Not both teams to score	41.1%	—	48.1%
Sporting Gijón to score	83.9%	—	75.9%
Real Valladolid to score	70.2%	—	62.6%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 5 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:34 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.8%	5.8%	3.5%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
1	8.8%	10.6%	6.4%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
2	8.0%	9.7%	5.9%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
3	4.9%	5.9%	3.6%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
4	2.2%	2.7%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
5	0.8%	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.6%
2.2–19.7%
3.1–08.8%
4.2–08.0%
5.1–26.4%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.83 – 1.21. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Sporting GijónWWLWWW

Scored 11 · Conceded 8

Sun 1 Novat Ceuta2–0xG 2.69–1.09
Thu 29 Octat Guijuelo3–1
Sun 25 Octat CD Castellon0–4xG 1.24–1.18
Sat 17 Octat Albacete Balompie2–1xG 0.88–0.53
Sun 11 Octat Cadiz CF1–0xG 0.79–0.63
Sun 4 Octat Celta Fortuna3–2xG 1.82–1.53

Real ValladolidWWLLWD

Scored 15 · Conceded 10

Mon 2 Novat CD Leganes4–3xG 2.31–1.90
Thu 29 Octat Covadonga1–0
Fri 23 Octat Granada CF1–2xG 1.27–0.71
Sun 18 Octat CD Eldense2–3xG 1.63–2.33
Mon 12 Octat Albacete Balompie5–0xG 2.69–0.82
Sun 4 Octat UD Las Palmas2–2xG 1.56–1.15

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Sporting Gijón: −0.29 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 5 games: scored 8 on 7.43 xG, conceded 7 on 4.96 xG against.

Real Valladolid: +0.29 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 5 games: scored 14 on 9.44 xG, conceded 10 on 6.91 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Sporting Gijón win

51.9%

41.1%

46.2%

Draw

22.9%

28.3%

25.8%

Real Valladolid win

25.2%

30.5%

28.0%

Sporting Gijón or draw

74.8%

—

72.0%

Sporting Gijón or Real Valladolid

77.1%

—

74.2%

Draw or Real Valladolid

48.1%

—

53.8%

Over 1.5 goals

80.7%

—

73.4%

Under 1.5 goals

19.3%

—

26.6%

Over 2.5 goals

58.5%

44.7%

48.7%

Under 2.5 goals

41.5%

55.3%

51.3%

Over 3.5 goals

36.2%

—

26.0%

Under 3.5 goals

63.8%

—

74.0%

Both teams to score

58.9%

—

51.9%

Not both teams to score

41.1%

—

48.1%

Sporting Gijón to score

83.9%

—

75.9%

Real Valladolid to score

70.2%

—

62.6%

4.8%

5.8%

3.5%

1.4%

0.4%

0.1%

8.8%

10.6%

6.4%

2.6%

0.8%

0.2%

8.0%

9.7%

5.9%

2.4%

0.7%

0.2%

4.9%

5.9%

3.6%

1.4%

0.4%

0.1%

2.2%

2.7%

1.6%

0.7%

0.2%

0.0%

0.8%

1.0%

0.6%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%