Liga PortugalCalibrated

Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga

Monday 9 November at 03:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Rio Ave win	17.8%	16.2%	18.5%
Draw	20.9%	22.5%	23.2%
Sporting Braga win	61.3%	61.3%	58.2%
Rio Ave or draw	38.7%	—	41.7%
Rio Ave or Sporting Braga	79.1%	—	76.8%
Draw or Sporting Braga	82.2%	—	81.4%
Over 1.5 goals	80.3%	—	75.0%
Under 1.5 goals	19.7%	—	25.0%
Over 2.5 goals	58.0%	52.2%	51.0%
Under 2.5 goals	42.0%	47.8%	49.0%
Over 3.5 goals	35.6%	—	29.4%
Under 3.5 goals	64.4%	—	70.6%
Both teams to score	54.6%	—	49.4%
Not both teams to score	45.4%	—	50.6%
Rio Ave to score	62.9%	—	52.4%
Sporting Braga to score	86.8%	—	81.7%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 1 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:37 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:41 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.9%	9.9%	10.0%	6.8%	3.4%	1.4%
1	4.9%	9.8%	10.0%	6.7%	3.4%	1.4%
2	2.4%	4.9%	4.9%	3.3%	1.7%	0.7%
3	0.8%	1.6%	1.6%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%
5	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.0–210.0%
2.1–210.0%
3.0–19.9%
4.1–19.8%
5.0–36.8%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 0.99 – 2.02. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Rio AveLLWWLD

Scored 8 · Conceded 12

Sun 1 Novat Academico Viseu1–2xG 1.07–0.90
Sun 25 Octat Famalicao0–4xG 0.34–1.51
Sat 17 Octat Louletano1–0
Sun 11 Octat Nacional3–2xG 1.67–1.20
Sat 19 Septat Alverca0–1xG 0.47–2.40
Mon 14 Septat Estrela Amadora3–3xG 1.28–2.73

Sporting BragaDWLWLL

Scored 6 · Conceded 6

Thu 5 Novat AGF0–0xG 2.73–1.93
Sun 1 Novat Famalicao3–0xG 1.34–0.16
Sun 25 Octat Nacional0–1xG 1.72–0.49
Thu 22 Octat Gent2–0xG 1.97–0.49
Mon 19 Octat Gil Vicente1–2xG 1.06–1.76
Thu 15 Octat FC København0–3xG 0.49–1.82

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Rio Ave: −0.22 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 5 games: scored 7 on 4.83 xG, conceded 12 on 8.74 xG against.

Sporting Braga: −0.44 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 6 on 9.30 xG, conceded 6 on 6.65 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Rio Ave win

17.8%

16.2%

18.5%

Draw

20.9%

22.5%

23.2%

Sporting Braga win

61.3%

58.2%

Rio Ave or draw

38.7%

—

41.7%

Rio Ave or Sporting Braga

79.1%

—

76.8%

Draw or Sporting Braga

82.2%

—

81.4%

Over 1.5 goals

80.3%

—

75.0%

Under 1.5 goals

19.7%

—

25.0%

Over 2.5 goals

58.0%

52.2%

51.0%

Under 2.5 goals

42.0%

47.8%

49.0%

Over 3.5 goals

35.6%

—

29.4%

Under 3.5 goals

64.4%

—

70.6%

Both teams to score

54.6%

—

49.4%

Not both teams to score

45.4%

—

50.6%

Rio Ave to score

62.9%

—

52.4%

Sporting Braga to score

86.8%

—

81.7%

4.9%

9.9%

10.0%

6.8%

3.4%

1.4%

4.9%

9.8%

10.0%

6.7%

3.4%

1.4%

2.4%

4.9%

3.3%

1.7%

0.7%

0.8%

1.6%

1.1%

0.6%

0.2%

0.4%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%