Liga PortugalCalibrated

Sporting CP vs Moreirense

Sunday 8 November at 03:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Sporting CP win	77.0%	86.4%	71.3%
Draw	14.3%	9.4%	17.0%
Moreirense win	8.6%	4.3%	11.7%
Sporting CP or draw	91.4%	—	88.3%
Sporting CP or Moreirense	85.7%	—	83.0%
Draw or Moreirense	23.0%	—	28.8%
Over 1.5 goals	85.7%	—	80.7%
Under 1.5 goals	14.3%	—	19.3%
Over 2.5 goals	66.7%	67.0%	58.6%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	33.0%	41.4%
Over 3.5 goals	44.9%	—	36.6%
Under 3.5 goals	55.1%	—	63.4%
Both teams to score	50.5%	—	47.9%
Not both teams to score	49.5%	—	52.1%
Sporting CP to score	92.9%	—	88.5%
Moreirense to score	54.4%	—	42.7%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 2 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:01 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:24 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.2%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
1	8.5%	6.7%	2.6%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
2	11.3%	8.9%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
3	10.0%	7.8%	3.1%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
4	6.6%	5.2%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
5	3.5%	2.8%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1.2–011.3%
2.3–010.0%
3.2–18.9%
4.1–08.5%
5.3–17.8%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.65 – 0.79. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Sporting CPWWLLWW

Scored 11 · Conceded 6

Tue 3 Novat Shakhtar Donetsk1–0xG 1.34–1.70
Fri 30 Octat Casa Pia2–0xG 2.03–0.67
Sun 25 Octat Academico Viseu1–2xG 2.87–0.78
Wed 21 Octat LASK2–3xG 3.15–1.29
Tue 13 Octat RC Lens2–0xG 1.37–1.66
Fri 9 Octat Sporting Braga3–1xG 1.04–1.37

MoreirenseWWWLLD

Scored 8 · Conceded 6

Sat 31 Octat Estrela Amadora2–1xG 0.55–0.92
Sat 31 Octat Estrela2–1xG 0.44–0.68
Sun 25 Octat Estoril3–1xG 1.23–2.06
Sat 17 Octat AVS0–1
Fri 9 Octat Gil Vicente0–1xG 1.16–1.67
Sun 20 Septat Vitoria Guimaraes1–1xG 0.48–1.19

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Sporting CP: +0.11 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 11 on 11.80 xG, conceded 6 on 7.48 xG against.

Moreirense: +1.13 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 8 on 3.85 xG, conceded 5 on 6.52 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Sporting CP win

77.0%

86.4%

71.3%

Draw

14.3%

9.4%

17.0%

Moreirense win

8.6%

4.3%

11.7%

Sporting CP or draw

91.4%

—

88.3%

Sporting CP or Moreirense

85.7%

—

83.0%

Draw or Moreirense

23.0%

—

28.8%

Over 1.5 goals

85.7%

—

80.7%

Under 1.5 goals

14.3%

—

19.3%

Over 2.5 goals

66.7%

67.0%

58.6%

Under 2.5 goals

33.3%

33.0%

41.4%

Over 3.5 goals

44.9%

—

36.6%

Under 3.5 goals

55.1%

—

63.4%

Both teams to score

50.5%

—

47.9%

Not both teams to score

49.5%

—

52.1%

Sporting CP to score

92.9%

—

88.5%

Moreirense to score

54.4%

—

42.7%

3.2%

2.5%

1.0%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

8.5%

6.7%

2.6%

0.7%

0.1%

0.0%

11.3%

8.9%

3.5%

0.9%

0.2%

0.0%

10.0%

7.8%

3.1%

0.8%

0.2%

0.0%

6.6%

5.2%

2.0%

0.5%

0.1%

0.0%

3.5%

2.8%

1.1%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%