2. BundesligaCalibrated

Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg

Sunday 8 November at 02:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Hertha BSC win	56.6%	44.5%	44.6%
Draw	20.2%	23.9%	24.4%
VfL Wolfsburg win	23.2%	31.6%	31.0%
Hertha BSC or draw	76.8%	—	69.0%
Hertha BSC or VfL Wolfsburg	79.8%	—	75.6%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg	43.4%	—	55.4%
Over 1.5 goals	87.3%	—	81.7%
Under 1.5 goals	12.7%	—	18.3%
Over 2.5 goals	69.5%	68.6%	61.6%
Under 2.5 goals	30.5%	31.4%	38.4%
Over 3.5 goals	48.3%	—	40.2%
Under 3.5 goals	51.7%	—	59.8%
Both teams to score	66.5%	—	61.8%
Not both teams to score	33.5%	—	38.2%
Hertha BSC to score	89.1%	—	77.8%
VfL Wolfsburg to score	74.6%	—	67.8%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 3 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:01 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:23 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	2.8%	3.8%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
1	6.1%	8.4%	5.8%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%
2	6.8%	9.3%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%	0.3%
3	5.0%	6.9%	4.7%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.8%	3.8%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
5	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1.2–19.3%
2.1–18.4%
3.3–16.9%
4.2–06.8%
5.2–26.4%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.22 – 1.37. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Hertha BSCWWWWDW

Scored 9 · Conceded 1

Sat 31 Octat 1. FC Kaiserslautern3–0xG 2.62–1.27
Wed 28 Octat Jeddeloh2–0xG 3.35–0.88
Sat 24 Octat DSC Arminia Bielefeld1–0xG 1.88–0.28
Sat 24 Octat Bielefeld1–0xG 1.90–0.31
Fri 16 Octat Holstein Kiel0–0xG 2.13–0.58
Sun 11 Octat SpVgg Greuther Furth2–1xG 1.89–1.55

VfL WolfsburgWLDDWD

Scored 13 · Conceded 10

Sat 31 Octat Osnabruck2–0xG 3.04–0.88
Wed 28 Octat SC Freiburg2–3xG 1.13–1.61
Fri 23 Octat VfL Bochum 18481–1xG 1.09–1.54
Fri 23 Octat VfL Bochum1–1xG 0.76–1.55
Sat 17 Octat 1. FC Heidenheim3–1xG 1.62–2.14
Sat 10 Octat 1. FC Nurnberg4–4xG 3.11–2.39

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Hertha BSC: −0.15 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 13.77 xG, conceded 1 on 4.86 xG against.

VfL Wolfsburg: +0.39 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 13 on 10.75 xG, conceded 10 on 10.11 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Hertha BSC win

56.6%

44.5%

44.6%

Draw

20.2%

23.9%

24.4%

VfL Wolfsburg win

23.2%

31.6%

31.0%

Hertha BSC or draw

76.8%

—

69.0%

Hertha BSC or VfL Wolfsburg

79.8%

—

75.6%

Draw or VfL Wolfsburg

43.4%

—

55.4%

Over 1.5 goals

87.3%

—

81.7%

Under 1.5 goals

12.7%

—

18.3%

Over 2.5 goals

69.5%

68.6%

61.6%

Under 2.5 goals

30.5%

31.4%

38.4%

Over 3.5 goals

48.3%

—

40.2%

Under 3.5 goals

51.7%

—

59.8%

Both teams to score

66.5%

—

61.8%

Not both teams to score

33.5%

—

38.2%

Hertha BSC to score

89.1%

—

77.8%

VfL Wolfsburg to score

74.6%

—

67.8%

2.8%

3.8%

2.6%

1.2%

0.4%

0.1%

6.1%

8.4%

5.8%

2.6%

0.9%

0.2%

6.8%

9.3%

6.4%

2.9%

1.0%

0.3%

5.0%

6.9%

4.7%

2.2%

0.7%

0.2%

2.8%

3.8%

2.6%

1.2%

0.4%

0.1%

1.2%

1.7%

1.2%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%