2. BundesligaCalibrated

Magdeburg vs St. Pauli

Sunday 8 November at 19:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Magdeburg win	40.9%	40.3%	49.5%
Draw	23.7%	25.4%	24.8%
St. Pauli win	35.4%	34.3%	25.7%
Magdeburg or draw	64.6%	—	74.3%
Magdeburg or St. Pauli	76.3%	—	75.3%
Draw or St. Pauli	59.1%	—	50.5%
Over 1.5 goals	81.9%	—	78.3%
Under 1.5 goals	18.1%	—	21.7%
Over 2.5 goals	60.4%	58.8%	55.7%
Under 2.5 goals	39.6%	41.2%	44.3%
Over 3.5 goals	38.1%	—	33.8%
Under 3.5 goals	61.9%	—	66.2%
Both teams to score	62.4%	—	56.5%
Not both teams to score	37.6%	—	43.5%
Magdeburg to score	80.3%	—	79.6%
St. Pauli to score	77.7%	—	62.2%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 1 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 19:38 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:27 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.4%	6.6%	4.9%	2.5%	0.9%	0.3%
1	7.1%	10.7%	8.0%	4.0%	1.5%	0.5%
2	5.8%	8.7%	6.5%	3.3%	1.2%	0.4%
3	3.1%	4.7%	3.5%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.3%	1.9%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%
5	0.4%	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.7%
2.2–18.7%
3.1–28.0%
4.1–07.1%
5.0–16.6%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.63 – 1.50. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

MagdeburgDLWLLW

Scored 11 · Conceded 12

Sat 31 Octat Darmstadt 981–1xG 0.70–1.48
Wed 28 Octat Bayern Munich1–6xG 0.93–3.86
Sat 24 Octat Karlsruher SC6–1xG 2.59–0.89
Sun 18 Octat Dynamo Dresden0–2xG 1.05–2.08
Sun 18 Octat Dresden0–2xG 0.87–2.05
Sat 10 Octat Hannover 963–0xG 1.59–0.91

St. PauliLDDWDD

Scored 6 · Conceded 6

Sun 1 Novat 1. FC Nurnberg1–3xG 3.41–1.01
Fri 23 Octat Darmstadt 980–0xG 2.61–0.88
Sat 17 Octat Hannover 961–1xG 1.16–1.30
Sun 11 Octat Karlsruher SC2–0xG 1.12–1.01
Sat 3 Octat Borussia M'gladbach1–1
Sun 20 Septat Energie Cottbus1–1xG 0.73–1.03

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Magdeburg: +0.43 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 11 on 7.72 xG, conceded 12 on 11.28 xG against.

St. Pauli: −0.76 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 5 on 9.03 xG, conceded 5 on 5.23 xG against.

Note: Magdeburg are overperforming against xG while St. Pauli are underperforming — recent results and the numbers disagree here.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Magdeburg win

40.9%

40.3%

49.5%

Draw

23.7%

25.4%

24.8%

St. Pauli win

35.4%

34.3%

25.7%

Magdeburg or draw

64.6%

—

74.3%

Magdeburg or St. Pauli

76.3%

—

75.3%

Draw or St. Pauli

59.1%

—

50.5%

Over 1.5 goals

81.9%

—

78.3%

Under 1.5 goals

18.1%

—

21.7%

Over 2.5 goals

60.4%

58.8%

55.7%

Under 2.5 goals

39.6%

41.2%

44.3%

Over 3.5 goals

38.1%

—

33.8%

Under 3.5 goals

61.9%

—

66.2%

Both teams to score

62.4%

—

56.5%

Not both teams to score

37.6%

—

43.5%

Magdeburg to score

80.3%

—

79.6%

St. Pauli to score

77.7%

—

62.2%

4.4%

6.6%

4.9%

2.5%

0.9%

0.3%

7.1%

10.7%

8.0%

4.0%

1.5%

0.5%

5.8%

8.7%

6.5%

3.3%

1.2%

0.4%

3.1%

4.7%

3.5%

1.8%

0.7%

0.2%

1.3%

1.9%

1.4%

0.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.4%

0.6%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%