BundesligaPartial

TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04

Monday 9 November at 01:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
TSG Hoffenheim win	63.5%	59.9%	41.3%
Draw	22.0%	20.9%	24.0%
Schalke 04 win	14.5%	19.2%	34.7%
TSG Hoffenheim or draw	85.5%	—	65.3%
TSG Hoffenheim or Schalke 04	78.0%	—	76.0%
Draw or Schalke 04	36.5%	—	58.7%
Over 1.5 goals	73.1%	—	82.3%
Under 1.5 goals	26.9%	—	17.7%
Over 2.5 goals	47.9%	64.8%	61.9%
Under 2.5 goals	52.1%	35.2%	38.1%
Over 3.5 goals	26.2%	—	39.7%
Under 3.5 goals	73.8%	—	60.3%
Both teams to score	44.3%	—	62.4%
Not both teams to score	55.7%	—	37.6%
TSG Hoffenheim to score	84.2%	—	75.7%
Schalke 04 to score	52.6%	—	71.0%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 11 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:36 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:34 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.5%	5.6%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
1	13.8%	10.3%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
2	12.8%	9.5%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
3	7.8%	5.9%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
4	3.6%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
5	1.3%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–013.8%
2.2–012.8%
3.1–110.3%
4.2–19.5%
5.3–07.8%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.84 – 0.75. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

TSG HoffenheimDLWWWW

Scored 11 · Conceded 5

Thu 5 Novat Crystal Palace1–1xG 1.38–1.12
Sat 31 Octat SV Werder Bremen0–2xG 1.44–1.66
Sun 25 Octat Bayer 04 Leverkusen3–0xG 3.29–0.70
Thu 22 Octat Olympique Lyonnais3–0xG 1.91–0.66
Sun 18 Octat Borussia M'gladbach2–1xG 1.84–0.86
Sun 18 Octat Borussia Monchengladbach2–1xG 1.80–0.47

Schalke 04LLDLLL

Scored 1 · Conceded 8

Sat 31 Octat RB Leipzig0–2xG 0.34–3.05
Wed 28 Octat Dynamo Dresden0–2xG 0.92–1.14
Sat 24 Octat 1. FC Koln0–0xG 0.73–1.00
Sat 17 Octat 1. FSV Mainz 050–1xG 0.29–1.51
Sat 17 Octat FSV Mainz 050–1xG 0.44–1.11
Sun 11 Octat SC Freiburg1–2xG 0.47–1.26

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

TSG Hoffenheim: −0.03 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 11 on 11.67 xG, conceded 5 on 5.49 xG against.

Schalke 04: −0.19 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 1 on 3.19 xG, conceded 8 on 9.08 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

TSG Hoffenheim win

63.5%

59.9%

41.3%

Draw

22.0%

20.9%

24.0%

Schalke 04 win

14.5%

19.2%

34.7%

TSG Hoffenheim or draw

85.5%

—

65.3%

TSG Hoffenheim or Schalke 04

78.0%

—

76.0%

Draw or Schalke 04

36.5%

—

58.7%

Over 1.5 goals

73.1%

—

82.3%

Under 1.5 goals

26.9%

—

17.7%

Over 2.5 goals

47.9%

64.8%

61.9%

Under 2.5 goals

52.1%

35.2%

38.1%

Over 3.5 goals

26.2%

—

39.7%

Under 3.5 goals

73.8%

—

60.3%

Both teams to score

44.3%

—

62.4%

Not both teams to score

55.7%

—

37.6%

TSG Hoffenheim to score

84.2%

—

75.7%

Schalke 04 to score

52.6%

—

71.0%

7.5%

5.6%

2.1%

0.5%

0.1%

0.0%

13.8%

10.3%

3.8%

1.0%

0.2%

0.0%

12.8%

9.5%

3.5%

0.9%

0.2%

0.0%

7.8%

5.9%

2.2%

0.5%

0.1%

0.0%

3.6%

2.7%

1.0%

0.3%

0.0%

1.3%

1.0%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%