BundesligaPartial

SC Freiburg vs FC Union Berlin

Sunday 8 November at 23:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
SC Freiburg win	54.6%	63.4%	61.7%
Draw	22.8%	20.7%	21.5%
FC Union Berlin win	22.6%	15.9%	16.7%
SC Freiburg or draw	77.4%	—	83.2%
SC Freiburg or FC Union Berlin	77.2%	—	78.4%
Draw or FC Union Berlin	45.4%	—	38.2%
Over 1.5 goals	79.2%	—	80.0%
Under 1.5 goals	20.8%	—	20.0%
Over 2.5 goals	56.3%	59.3%	58.8%
Under 2.5 goals	43.7%	40.7%	41.2%
Over 3.5 goals	34.0%	—	36.7%
Under 3.5 goals	66.0%	—	63.3%
Both teams to score	56.2%	—	53.2%
Not both teams to score	43.8%	—	46.8%
SC Freiburg to score	84.1%	—	85.2%
FC Union Berlin to score	66.8%	—	52.3%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 1 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:36 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:33 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5.3%	5.8%	3.2%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
1	9.7%	10.7%	5.9%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
2	8.9%	9.8%	5.4%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%
3	5.5%	6.0%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
4	2.5%	2.8%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%
5	0.9%	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.7%
2.2–19.8%
3.1–09.7%
4.2–08.9%
5.3–16.0%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.84 – 1.10. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

SC FreiburgWWWLLL

Scored 8 · Conceded 11

Thu 5 Novat Trabzonspor1–0xG 1.00–1.31
Sat 31 Octat FC Augsburg2–1xG 1.43–1.18
Wed 28 Octat VfL Wolfsburg3–2xG 1.61–1.13
Sun 25 Octat Bayern Munich1–3xG 1.41–1.89
Thu 22 Octat AS Monaco0–3xG 1.51–1.51
Sun 18 Octat Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–2xG 1.12–1.52

FC Union BerlinDLDDWW

Scored 4 · Conceded 7

Sun 1 Novat 1. FC Koln1–1xG 0.74–1.12
Tue 27 Octat 1. FC Koln0–5xG 1.22–2.27
Sat 24 Octat FC Augsburg1–1xG 1.27–2.50
Sat 17 Octat Borussia Dortmund0–0xG 0.90–1.07
Sat 10 Octat SV 07 Elversberg1–0xG 1.13–0.24
Sat 10 Octat SV Elversberg1–0xG 1.59–0.25

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

SC Freiburg: −0.42 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 8 on 8.08 xG, conceded 11 on 8.55 xG against.

FC Union Berlin: −0.40 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 4 on 6.86 xG, conceded 7 on 7.45 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

SC Freiburg win

54.6%

63.4%

61.7%

Draw

22.8%

20.7%

21.5%

FC Union Berlin win

22.6%

15.9%

16.7%

SC Freiburg or draw

77.4%

—

83.2%

SC Freiburg or FC Union Berlin

77.2%

—

78.4%

Draw or FC Union Berlin

45.4%

—

38.2%

Over 1.5 goals

79.2%

—

80.0%

Under 1.5 goals

20.8%

—

20.0%

Over 2.5 goals

56.3%

59.3%

58.8%

Under 2.5 goals

43.7%

40.7%

41.2%

Over 3.5 goals

34.0%

—

36.7%

Under 3.5 goals

66.0%

—

63.3%

Both teams to score

56.2%

—

53.2%

Not both teams to score

43.8%

—

46.8%

SC Freiburg to score

84.1%

—

85.2%

FC Union Berlin to score

66.8%

—

52.3%

5.3%

5.8%

3.2%

1.2%

0.3%

0.1%

9.7%

10.7%

5.9%

2.2%

0.6%

0.1%

8.9%

9.8%

5.4%

2.0%

0.6%

0.1%

5.5%

6.0%

3.3%

1.2%

0.3%

0.1%

2.5%

2.8%

1.5%

0.6%

0.2%

0.0%

0.9%

1.0%

0.6%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%