La LigaCalibrated

Osasuna vs Athletic Club

Sunday 8 November at 00:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Osasuna win	36.0%	26.9%	32.3%
Draw	23.9%	27.8%	26.6%
Athletic Club win	40.2%	45.4%	41.2%
Osasuna or draw	59.8%	—	58.8%
Osasuna or Athletic Club	76.1%	—	73.5%
Draw or Athletic Club	64.0%	—	67.8%
Over 1.5 goals	81.4%	—	74.1%
Under 1.5 goals	18.6%	—	25.9%
Over 2.5 goals	59.7%	45.5%	49.3%
Under 2.5 goals	40.3%	54.5%	50.7%
Over 3.5 goals	37.3%	—	27.4%
Under 3.5 goals	62.7%	—	72.6%
Both teams to score	61.9%	—	53.3%
Not both teams to score	38.1%	—	46.7%
Osasuna to score	77.6%	—	66.8%
Athletic Club to score	79.7%	—	72.9%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 3 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 19:37 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:21 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.5%	7.2%	5.8%	3.1%	1.2%	0.4%
1	6.8%	10.8%	8.6%	4.6%	1.8%	0.6%
2	5.1%	8.1%	6.5%	3.4%	1.4%	0.4%
3	2.5%	4.1%	3.2%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.0%	1.5%	1.2%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%
5	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.8%
2.1–28.6%
3.2–18.1%
4.0–17.2%
5.1–06.8%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.59. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

OsasunaLLWLWL

Scored 12 · Conceded 11

Mon 2 Novat Deportivo A Coruna1–2xG 1.01–2.22
Mon 2 Novat Deportivo La Coruna1–2xG 1.10–2.35
Thu 29 Octat Atletico Calatayud6–0xG 3.62–0.42
Mon 26 Octat Sevilla FC0–2xG 0.70–1.05
Sun 18 Octat Racing de Santander2–0xG 4.07–0.37
Sun 11 Octat Real Betis2–5xG 1.35–2.78

Athletic ClubWWWWLL

Scored 15 · Conceded 7

Mon 2 Novat Ceara2–1
Sun 1 Novat Real Sociedad2–1xG 3.00–1.57
Thu 29 Octat Prat6–1xG 4.06–0.34
Sun 25 Octat Getafe CF4–0xG 0.64–0.52
Fri 23 Octat Operario PR0–1
Wed 21 Octat Levante UD1–3xG 2.44–1.71

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Osasuna: −0.28 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 12 on 11.86 xG, conceded 11 on 9.19 xG against.

Athletic Club: +0.50 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 4 games: scored 13 on 10.14 xG, conceded 5 on 4.14 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Osasuna win

36.0%

26.9%

32.3%

Draw

23.9%

27.8%

26.6%

Athletic Club win

40.2%

45.4%

41.2%

Osasuna or draw

59.8%

—

58.8%

Osasuna or Athletic Club

76.1%

—

73.5%

Draw or Athletic Club

64.0%

—

67.8%

Over 1.5 goals

81.4%

—

74.1%

Under 1.5 goals

18.6%

—

25.9%

Over 2.5 goals

59.7%

45.5%

49.3%

Under 2.5 goals

40.3%

54.5%

50.7%

Over 3.5 goals

37.3%

—

27.4%

Under 3.5 goals

62.7%

—

72.6%

Both teams to score

61.9%

—

53.3%

Not both teams to score

38.1%

—

46.7%

Osasuna to score

77.6%

—

66.8%

Athletic Club to score

79.7%

—

72.9%

4.5%

7.2%

5.8%

3.1%

1.2%

0.4%

6.8%

10.8%

8.6%

4.6%

1.8%

0.6%

5.1%

8.1%

6.5%

3.4%

1.4%

0.4%

2.5%

4.1%

3.2%

1.7%

0.7%

0.2%

1.0%

1.5%

1.2%

0.6%

0.3%

0.1%

0.3%

0.5%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%