Admiral BundesligaCalibrated

Hartberg vs Rheindorf Altach

Sunday 8 November at 20:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Hartberg win	52.3%	38.7%	45.7%
Draw	25.7%	26.7%	26.1%
Rheindorf Altach win	21.9%	34.6%	28.2%
Hartberg or draw	78.1%	—	71.7%
Hartberg or Rheindorf Altach	74.3%	—	73.9%
Draw or Rheindorf Altach	47.7%	—	54.3%
Over 1.5 goals	69.8%	—	74.7%
Under 1.5 goals	30.2%	—	25.3%
Over 2.5 goals	43.8%	52.8%	50.1%
Under 2.5 goals	56.2%	47.2%	49.9%
Over 3.5 goals	22.7%	—	28.4%
Under 3.5 goals	77.3%	—	71.5%
Both teams to score	46.4%	—	54.1%
Not both teams to score	53.6%	—	45.9%
Hartberg to score	78.5%	—	76.2%
Rheindorf Altach to score	59.1%	—	63.3%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 2 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:34 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:29 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8.8%	7.9%	3.5%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
1	13.5%	12.1%	5.4%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
2	10.4%	9.3%	4.1%	1.2%	0.3%	0.0%
3	5.3%	4.7%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	2.0%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
5	0.6%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–013.5%
2.1–112.1%
3.2–010.4%
4.2–19.3%
5.0–08.8%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.53 – 0.89. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

HartbergWWLWWD

Scored 18 · Conceded 9

Fri 30 Octat Grazer AK4–0xG 2.16–1.25
Sat 24 Octat Wolfsberger AC1–0xG 1.39–0.62
Fri 16 Octat SK Rapid1–3xG 0.60–0.91
Sun 11 Octat Austria Lustenau4–3xG 2.80–1.29
Thu 24 Septat Kapfenberger SV5–0
Sun 20 Septat LASK3–3xG 0.71–1.49

Rheindorf AltachDWLWWL

Scored 11 · Conceded 7

Sat 31 Octat Ried1–1xG 1.46–0.62
Fri 23 Octat Austria Wien2–1xG 1.09–0.87
Sun 18 Octat Salzburg0–3xG 0.75–2.28
Sun 11 Octat Wolfsberger AC3–0xG 1.40–0.28
Thu 1 Octat Wil5–0
Sat 19 Septat Austria Lustenau0–2xG 1.08–0.95

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Hartberg: +0.38 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 13 on 7.67 xG, conceded 9 on 5.56 xG against.

Rheindorf Altach: −0.36 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 6 on 5.77 xG, conceded 7 on 5.00 xG against.

Note: Hartberg are overperforming against xG while Rheindorf Altach are underperforming — recent results and the numbers disagree here.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Hartberg win

52.3%

38.7%

45.7%

Draw

25.7%

26.7%

26.1%

Rheindorf Altach win

21.9%

34.6%

28.2%

Hartberg or draw

78.1%

—

71.7%

Hartberg or Rheindorf Altach

74.3%

—

73.9%

Draw or Rheindorf Altach

47.7%

—

54.3%

Over 1.5 goals

69.8%

—

74.7%

Under 1.5 goals

30.2%

—

25.3%

Over 2.5 goals

43.8%

52.8%

50.1%

Under 2.5 goals

56.2%

47.2%

49.9%

Over 3.5 goals

22.7%

—

28.4%

Under 3.5 goals

77.3%

—

71.5%

Both teams to score

46.4%

—

54.1%

Not both teams to score

53.6%

—

45.9%

Hartberg to score

78.5%

—

76.2%

Rheindorf Altach to score

59.1%

—

63.3%

8.8%

7.9%

3.5%

1.0%

0.2%

0.0%

13.5%

12.1%

5.4%

1.6%

0.4%

0.1%

10.4%

9.3%

4.1%

1.2%

0.3%

0.0%

5.3%

4.7%

2.1%

0.6%

0.1%

0.0%

2.0%

1.8%

0.8%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.6%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%