Admiral BundesligaCalibrated

Ried vs LASK

Sunday 8 November at 01:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Ried win	33.5%	15.2%	27.9%
Draw	21.5%	19.6%	22.4%
LASK win	45.1%	65.2%	49.8%
Ried or draw	54.9%	—	50.3%
Ried or LASK	78.5%	—	77.6%
Draw or LASK	66.5%	—	72.2%
Over 1.5 goals	88.1%	—	83.6%
Under 1.5 goals	11.9%	—	16.4%
Over 2.5 goals	70.9%	64.6%	63.7%
Under 2.5 goals	29.1%	35.4%	36.3%
Over 3.5 goals	50.0%	—	42.7%
Under 3.5 goals	50.0%	—	57.3%
Both teams to score	70.3%	—	62.4%
Not both teams to score	29.7%	—	37.6%
Ried to score	81.5%	—	65.2%
LASK to score	86.2%	—	80.8%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 3 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 19:38 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:22 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	2.5%	5.0%	5.0%	3.3%	1.6%	0.6%
1	4.3%	8.5%	8.4%	5.6%	2.8%	1.1%
2	3.6%	7.2%	7.1%	4.7%	2.3%	0.9%
3	2.0%	4.1%	4.0%	2.7%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%
5	0.3%	0.6%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1.1–18.5%
2.1–28.4%
3.2–17.2%
4.2–27.1%
5.1–35.6%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.69 – 1.98. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

RiedDDWWDW

Scored 15 · Conceded 10

Sat 31 Octat Rheindorf Altach1–1xG 0.62–1.46
Sun 25 Octat Sturm Graz2–2xG 1.63–2.14
Sat 17 Octat Austria Wien3–2xG 2.34–2.32
Sat 10 Octat WSG Tirol2–1xG 1.65–1.51
Fri 2 Octat Amstetten3–3
Sun 20 Septat Wolfsberger AC4–1xG 4.38–2.36

LASKWWLWWL

Scored 17 · Conceded 12

Tue 3 Novat Slovan Bratislava4–0xG 4.30–0.78
Sat 31 Octat WSG Tirol2–1xG 1.62–0.61
Sun 25 Octat Salzburg1–3xG 1.25–1.68
Wed 21 Octat Sp Lisbon3–2xG 1.29–3.15
Sat 17 Octat Austria Lustenau4–0xG 2.98–0.35
Wed 14 Octat Liverpool3–6xG 1.50–2.73

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Ried: +0.84 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 12 on 10.62 xG, conceded 7 on 9.79 xG against.

LASK: +0.23 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 17 on 12.94 xG, conceded 12 on 9.29 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Ried win

33.5%

15.2%

27.9%

Draw

21.5%

19.6%

22.4%

LASK win

45.1%

65.2%

49.8%

Ried or draw

54.9%

—

50.3%

Ried or LASK

78.5%

—

77.6%

Draw or LASK

66.5%

—

72.2%

Over 1.5 goals

88.1%

—

83.6%

Under 1.5 goals

11.9%

—

16.4%

Over 2.5 goals

70.9%

64.6%

63.7%

Under 2.5 goals

29.1%

35.4%

36.3%

Over 3.5 goals

50.0%

—

42.7%

Under 3.5 goals

50.0%

—

57.3%

Both teams to score

70.3%

—

62.4%

Not both teams to score

29.7%

—

37.6%

Ried to score

81.5%

—

65.2%

LASK to score

86.2%

—

80.8%

2.5%

5.0%

3.3%

1.6%

0.6%

4.3%

8.5%

8.4%

5.6%

2.8%

1.1%

3.6%

7.2%

7.1%

4.7%

2.3%

0.9%

2.0%

4.1%

4.0%

2.7%

1.3%

0.5%

0.9%

1.7%

1.1%

0.6%

0.2%

0.3%

0.6%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%