Admiral BundesligaCalibrated

WSG Tirol vs Austria Wien

Sunday 8 November at 20:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
WSG Tirol win	40.8%	37.3%	29.2%
Draw	24.2%	26.7%	26.2%
Austria Wien win	35.0%	36.0%	44.6%
WSG Tirol or draw	65.0%	—	55.4%
WSG Tirol or Austria Wien	75.8%	—	73.8%
Draw or Austria Wien	59.2%	—	70.8%
Over 1.5 goals	80.4%	—	75.4%
Under 1.5 goals	19.6%	—	24.6%
Over 2.5 goals	58.1%	54.4%	52.0%
Under 2.5 goals	41.9%	45.6%	48.0%
Over 3.5 goals	35.7%	—	30.0%
Under 3.5 goals	64.3%	—	70.0%
Both teams to score	60.6%	—	54.3%
Not both teams to score	39.4%	—	45.7%
WSG Tirol to score	79.3%	—	64.7%
Austria Wien to score	76.4%	—	75.7%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 3 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:34 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:29 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.9%	7.1%	5.1%	2.4%	0.9%	0.3%
1	7.7%	11.1%	8.0%	3.9%	1.4%	0.4%
2	6.1%	8.8%	6.3%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
3	3.2%	4.6%	3.3%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%
4	1.3%	1.8%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%
5	0.4%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–111.1%
2.2–18.8%
3.1–28.0%
4.1–07.7%
5.0–17.1%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.57 – 1.44. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

WSG TirolLDWLWW

Scored 12 · Conceded 5

Sat 31 Octat LASK1–2xG 0.61–1.62
Sat 24 Octat Grazer AK1–1xG 1.08–1.98
Sun 18 Octat Wolfsberger AC2–0xG 2.28–1.44
Sat 10 Octat Ried1–2xG 1.51–1.65
Thu 1 Octat Jahn Regensburg6–0
Thu 24 Septat Liefering1–0

Austria WienLLLLWD

Scored 11 · Conceded 12

Sun 1 Novat SK Rapid0–2xG 1.08–1.83
Fri 23 Octat Rheindorf Altach1–2xG 0.87–1.09
Sat 17 Octat Ried2–3xG 2.32–2.34
Sat 10 Octat Sturm Graz0–2xG 1.89–2.36
Fri 2 Octat Admira6–1
Sat 19 Septat Grazer AK2–2xG 1.07–0.84

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

WSG Tirol: +0.30 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 4 games: scored 5 on 5.47 xG, conceded 5 on 6.69 xG against.

Austria Wien: −0.96 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 5 on 7.24 xG, conceded 11 on 8.45 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

WSG Tirol win

40.8%

37.3%

29.2%

Draw

24.2%

26.7%

26.2%

Austria Wien win

35.0%

36.0%

44.6%

WSG Tirol or draw

65.0%

—

55.4%

WSG Tirol or Austria Wien

75.8%

—

73.8%

Draw or Austria Wien

59.2%

—

70.8%

Over 1.5 goals

80.4%

—

75.4%

Under 1.5 goals

19.6%

—

24.6%

Over 2.5 goals

58.1%

54.4%

52.0%

Under 2.5 goals

41.9%

45.6%

48.0%

Over 3.5 goals

35.7%

—

30.0%

Under 3.5 goals

64.3%

—

70.0%

Both teams to score

60.6%

—

54.3%

Not both teams to score

39.4%

—

45.7%

WSG Tirol to score

79.3%

—

64.7%

Austria Wien to score

76.4%

—

75.7%

4.9%

7.1%

5.1%

2.4%

0.9%

0.3%

7.7%

11.1%

8.0%

3.9%

1.4%

0.4%

6.1%

8.8%

6.3%

3.0%

1.1%

0.3%

3.2%

4.6%

3.3%

1.6%

0.6%

0.2%

1.3%

1.8%

1.3%

0.6%

0.2%

0.1%

0.4%

0.6%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%