Premier LeagueCalibrated

Spartak Moskva vs Akron

Sunday 8 November at 20:15 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Spartak Moskva win	74.7%	77.9%	75.1%
Draw	14.8%	14.2%	17.4%
Akron win	10.4%	7.9%	7.5%
Spartak Moskva or draw	89.6%	—	92.5%
Spartak Moskva or Akron	85.2%	—	82.6%
Draw or Akron	25.3%	—	24.9%
Over 1.5 goals	87.8%	—	76.6%
Under 1.5 goals	12.2%	—	23.4%
Over 2.5 goals	70.4%	66.0%	54.3%
Under 2.5 goals	29.6%	34.1%	45.7%
Over 3.5 goals	49.3%	—	32.3%
Under 3.5 goals	50.7%	—	67.7%
Both teams to score	56.6%	—	39.9%
Not both teams to score	43.4%	—	60.1%
Spartak Moskva to score	93.3%	—	88.7%
Akron to score	60.7%	—	35.2%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 9 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:34 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:29 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	2.6%	2.5%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
1	7.1%	6.6%	3.1%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
2	9.6%	9.0%	4.2%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
3	8.7%	8.1%	3.8%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
4	5.9%	5.5%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
5	3.2%	3.0%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1.2–09.6%
2.2–19.0%
3.3–08.7%
4.3–18.1%
5.1–07.1%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.71 – 0.93. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Spartak MoskvaWLWDWW

Scored 13 · Conceded 3

Sun 1 Novat Lokomotiv Moskva4–0xG 2.92–1.36
Sun 25 Octat CSKA Moskva0–2xG 2.06–1.90
Sun 18 Octat Rubin Kazan4–0xG 3.78–0.31
Sat 10 Octat Krylya Sovetov1–1xG 0.68–2.64
Wed 16 Septat Fakel1–0xG 2.24–0.11
Sun 13 Septat Rostov3–0xG 2.49–0.55

AkronLWDLLW

Scored 7 · Conceded 9

Sun 1 Novat Baltika Kaliningrad1–2xG 1.09–1.62
Sat 24 Octat Dinamo Moskva3–1xG 0.77–2.60
Sat 17 Octat Dynamo Makhachkala1–1xG 0.72–1.12
Fri 9 Octat Rostov0–1xG 0.75–0.42
Fri 2 Octat Krylya Sovetov0–4
Thu 17 Septat Akhmat Grozny2–0xG 1.27–0.66

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Spartak Moskva: +0.45 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 13 on 14.18 xG, conceded 3 on 6.88 xG against.

Akron: +0.76 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 7 on 4.61 xG, conceded 5 on 6.42 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Spartak Moskva win

74.7%

77.9%

75.1%

Draw

14.8%

14.2%

17.4%

Akron win

10.4%

7.9%

7.5%

Spartak Moskva or draw

89.6%

—

92.5%

Spartak Moskva or Akron

85.2%

—

82.6%

Draw or Akron

25.3%

—

24.9%

Over 1.5 goals

87.8%

—

76.6%

Under 1.5 goals

12.2%

—

23.4%

Over 2.5 goals

70.4%

66.0%

54.3%

Under 2.5 goals

29.6%

34.1%

45.7%

Over 3.5 goals

49.3%

—

32.3%

Under 3.5 goals

50.7%

—

67.7%

Both teams to score

56.6%

—

39.9%

Not both teams to score

43.4%

—

60.1%

Spartak Moskva to score

93.3%

—

88.7%

Akron to score

60.7%

—

35.2%

2.6%

2.5%

1.1%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

7.1%

6.6%

3.1%

1.0%

0.2%

0.0%

9.6%

9.0%

4.2%

1.3%

0.3%

0.1%

8.7%

8.1%

3.8%

1.2%

0.3%

0.1%

5.9%

5.5%

2.6%

0.8%

0.2%

0.0%

3.2%

3.0%

1.4%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%