Premier LeagueCalibrated

Krylya Sovetov vs Orenburg

Sunday 8 November at 18:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Krylya Sovetov win	47.6%	40.1%	44.1%
Draw	24.1%	26.8%	28.8%
Orenburg win	28.3%	33.1%	27.1%
Krylya Sovetov or draw	71.7%	—	72.9%
Krylya Sovetov or Orenburg	75.9%	—	71.2%
Draw or Orenburg	52.4%	—	55.9%
Over 1.5 goals	78.5%	—	67.3%
Under 1.5 goals	21.5%	—	32.8%
Over 2.5 goals	55.4%	51.8%	41.9%
Under 2.5 goals	44.6%	48.2%	58.1%
Over 3.5 goals	33.0%	—	21.6%
Under 3.5 goals	67.0%	—	78.4%
Both teams to score	57.5%	—	46.9%
Not both teams to score	42.5%	—	53.1%
Krylya Sovetov to score	81.1%	—	72.2%
Orenburg to score	70.8%	—	59.6%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 9 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 19:38 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:27 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5.5%	6.8%	4.2%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
1	9.2%	11.3%	7.0%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
2	7.7%	9.4%	5.8%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
3	4.3%	5.2%	3.2%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.8%	2.2%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%
5	0.6%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–111.3%
2.2–19.4%
3.1–09.2%
4.2–07.7%
5.1–27.0%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.23. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Krylya SovetovLWLDWD

Scored 9 · Conceded 7

Mon 2 Novat Zenit0–3xG 0.58–2.85
Sat 24 Octat Rubin Kazan2–0xG 1.15–0.29
Sat 17 Octat Fakel1–2xG 2.11–0.67
Sat 10 Octat Spartak Moskva1–1xG 2.64–0.68
Fri 2 Octat Akron4–0
Wed 16 Septat Lokomotiv Moskva1–1xG 1.81–0.76

OrenburgDWDWWL

Scored 10 · Conceded 6

Sun 1 Novat CSKA Moskva0–0xG 1.20–0.88
Fri 23 Octat Akhmat Grozny1–0xG 0.75–2.11
Mon 19 Octat Rodina Moskva2–2xG 2.19–1.90
Sat 10 Octat Dynamo Makhachkala4–0xG 3.15–1.30
Sat 3 Octat Tekstilshchik3–2
Sat 3 Octat Lokomotiv Moskva0–2

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Krylya Sovetov: −1.01 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 5 on 8.29 xG, conceded 7 on 5.25 xG against.

Orenburg: +0.98 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 4 games: scored 7 on 7.29 xG, conceded 2 on 6.19 xG against.

Note: Krylya Sovetov are underperforming against xG while Orenburg are overperforming — recent results and the numbers disagree here.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Krylya Sovetov win

47.6%

40.1%

44.1%

Draw

24.1%

26.8%

28.8%

Orenburg win

28.3%

33.1%

27.1%

Krylya Sovetov or draw

71.7%

—

72.9%

Krylya Sovetov or Orenburg

75.9%

—

71.2%

Draw or Orenburg

52.4%

—

55.9%

Over 1.5 goals

78.5%

—

67.3%

Under 1.5 goals

21.5%

—

32.8%

Over 2.5 goals

55.4%

51.8%

41.9%

Under 2.5 goals

44.6%

48.2%

58.1%

Over 3.5 goals

33.0%

—

21.6%

Under 3.5 goals

67.0%

—

78.4%

Both teams to score

57.5%

—

46.9%

Not both teams to score

42.5%

—

53.1%

Krylya Sovetov to score

81.1%

—

72.2%

Orenburg to score

70.8%

—

59.6%

5.5%

6.8%

4.2%

1.7%

0.5%

0.1%

9.2%

11.3%

7.0%

2.9%

0.9%

0.2%

7.7%

9.4%

5.8%

2.4%

0.7%

0.2%

4.3%

5.2%

3.2%

1.3%

0.4%

0.1%

1.8%

2.2%

1.3%

0.6%

0.2%

0.0%

0.6%

0.7%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%