Premier LeagueCalibrated

Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala

Monday 9 November at 00:45 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Baltika Kaliningrad win	62.3%	56.2%	54.0%
Draw	22.7%	26.7%	25.5%
Dynamo Makhachkala win	15.0%	17.1%	20.4%
Baltika Kaliningrad or draw	85.0%	—	79.5%
Baltika Kaliningrad or Dynamo Makhachkala	77.3%	—	74.5%
Draw or Dynamo Makhachkala	37.7%	—	46.0%
Over 1.5 goals	71.4%	—	69.4%
Under 1.5 goals	28.6%	—	30.6%
Over 2.5 goals	45.8%	39.0%	44.0%
Under 2.5 goals	54.2%	61.0%	56.0%
Over 3.5 goals	24.4%	—	22.5%
Under 3.5 goals	75.6%	—	77.5%
Both teams to score	43.1%	—	45.5%
Not both teams to score	56.9%	—	54.5%
Baltika Kaliningrad to score	83.1%	—	78.3%
Dynamo Makhachkala to score	51.9%	—	53.6%

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:36 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:34 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8.2%	6.0%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
1	14.5%	10.6%	3.9%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
2	12.8%	9.4%	3.4%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
3	7.6%	5.6%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
4	3.4%	2.5%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
5	1.2%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–014.5%
2.2–012.8%
3.1–110.6%
4.2–19.4%
5.0–08.2%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.77 – 0.73. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Baltika KaliningradWDDDLL

Scored 5 · Conceded 6

Sun 1 Novat Akron2–1xG 1.62–1.09
Sat 24 Octat Krasnodar1–1xG 0.98–1.11
Sun 18 Octat Rostov0–0xG 0.72–1.21
Sun 11 Octat Akhmat Grozny0–0xG 0.68–1.51
Sat 3 Octat Rubin Kazan0–1
Wed 16 Septat Zenit2–3xG 2.25–0.84

Dynamo MakhachkalaLLDLWL

Scored 5 · Conceded 15

Sun 1 Novat Rostov0–3xG 1.00–0.68
Sun 25 Octat Zenit0–2xG 0.98–4.06
Sat 17 Octat Akron1–1xG 1.12–0.72
Sat 10 Octat Orenburg0–4xG 1.30–3.15
Sat 3 Octat Leningradets3–2
Thu 17 Septat CSKA Moskva1–3xG 1.56–1.33

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Baltika Kaliningrad: −0.10 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 5 games: scored 5 on 6.25 xG, conceded 5 on 5.75 xG against.

Dynamo Makhachkala: −1.41 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 2 on 5.97 xG, conceded 13 on 9.94 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Baltika Kaliningrad win

62.3%

56.2%

54.0%

Draw

22.7%

26.7%

25.5%

Dynamo Makhachkala win

15.0%

17.1%

20.4%

Baltika Kaliningrad or draw

85.0%

—

79.5%

Baltika Kaliningrad or Dynamo Makhachkala

77.3%

—

74.5%

Draw or Dynamo Makhachkala

37.7%

—

46.0%

Over 1.5 goals

71.4%

—

69.4%

Under 1.5 goals

28.6%

—

30.6%

Over 2.5 goals

45.8%

39.0%

44.0%

Under 2.5 goals

54.2%

61.0%

56.0%

Over 3.5 goals

24.4%

—

22.5%

Under 3.5 goals

75.6%

—

77.5%

Both teams to score

43.1%

—

45.5%

Not both teams to score

56.9%

—

54.5%

Baltika Kaliningrad to score

83.1%

—

78.3%

Dynamo Makhachkala to score

51.9%

—

53.6%

8.2%

6.0%

2.2%

0.5%

0.1%

0.0%

14.5%

10.6%

3.9%

0.9%

0.2%

0.0%

12.8%

9.4%

3.4%

0.8%

0.2%

0.0%

7.6%

5.6%

2.0%

0.5%

0.1%

0.0%

3.4%

2.5%

0.9%

0.2%

0.0%

1.2%

0.9%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%