Premier LeagueCalibrated

Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva

Saturday 7 November at 23:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Krasnodar win	48.9%	45.1%	50.4%
Draw	24.1%	25.4%	25.3%
CSKA Moskva win	27.0%	29.4%	24.3%
Krasnodar or draw	73.0%	—	75.7%
Krasnodar or CSKA Moskva	75.9%	—	74.8%
Draw or CSKA Moskva	51.1%	—	49.6%
Over 1.5 goals	78.0%	—	75.4%
Under 1.5 goals	22.0%	—	24.6%
Over 2.5 goals	54.6%	56.4%	51.6%
Under 2.5 goals	45.4%	43.6%	48.4%
Over 3.5 goals	32.3%	—	28.8%
Under 3.5 goals	67.7%	—	71.2%
Both teams to score	56.5%	—	53.4%
Not both teams to score	43.5%	—	46.5%
Krasnodar to score	81.4%	—	79.0%
CSKA Moskva to score	69.5%	—	60.4%

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:37 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:20 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5.7%	6.8%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
1	9.6%	11.3%	6.7%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
2	8.0%	9.5%	5.6%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
3	4.5%	5.3%	3.2%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.9%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%
5	0.6%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–111.3%
2.1–09.6%
3.2–19.5%
4.2–08.0%
5.0–16.8%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.19. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

KrasnodarLDDLWD

Scored 10 · Conceded 9

Sat 31 Octat Rodina Moskva1–2xG 1.57–0.94
Sat 24 Octat Baltika Kaliningrad1–1xG 1.11–0.98
Sat 17 Octat Lokomotiv Moskva3–3xG 1.47–1.92
Sat 10 Octat Zenit2–3xG 1.32–1.16
Sat 3 Octat Rostov3–0
Thu 17 Septat Orenburg0–0xG 1.14–1.28

CSKA MoskvaDWLWWL

Scored 10 · Conceded 7

Sun 1 Novat Orenburg0–0xG 0.88–1.20
Sun 25 Octat Spartak Moskva2–0xG 1.90–2.06
Sun 18 Octat Dinamo Moskva1–3xG 2.18–2.26
Sun 11 Octat Rodina Moskva3–0xG 2.27–0.84
Sun 4 Octat Arsenal Tula3–1
Sun 27 Septat FK Nizjni Novgorod1–3

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Krasnodar: −0.46 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 7 on 6.61 xG, conceded 9 on 6.28 xG against.

CSKA Moskva: +0.53 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 4 games: scored 6 on 7.23 xG, conceded 3 on 6.36 xG against.

Note: Krasnodar are underperforming against xG while CSKA Moskva are overperforming — recent results and the numbers disagree here.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Krasnodar win

48.9%

45.1%

50.4%

Draw

24.1%

25.4%

25.3%

CSKA Moskva win

27.0%

29.4%

24.3%

Krasnodar or draw

73.0%

—

75.7%

Krasnodar or CSKA Moskva

75.9%

—

74.8%

Draw or CSKA Moskva

51.1%

—

49.6%

Over 1.5 goals

78.0%

—

75.4%

Under 1.5 goals

22.0%

—

24.6%

Over 2.5 goals

54.6%

56.4%

51.6%

Under 2.5 goals

45.4%

43.6%

48.4%

Over 3.5 goals

32.3%

—

28.8%

Under 3.5 goals

67.7%

—

71.2%

Both teams to score

56.5%

—

53.4%

Not both teams to score

43.5%

—

46.5%

Krasnodar to score

81.4%

—

79.0%

CSKA Moskva to score

69.5%

—

60.4%

5.7%

6.8%

4.0%

1.6%

0.5%

0.1%

9.6%

11.3%

6.7%

2.7%

0.8%

0.2%

8.0%

9.5%

5.6%

2.2%

0.7%

0.2%

4.5%

5.3%

3.2%

1.3%

0.4%

0.1%

1.9%

2.2%

1.3%

0.5%

0.2%

0.0%

0.6%

0.8%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%