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Premier LeagueCalibrated
Sunday 8 November at 22:30 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit win | 68.2% | 69.3% | 67.2% |
| Draw | 20.0% | 19.3% | 20.6% |
| Rostov win | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.3% |
| Zenit or draw | 88.1% | — | 87.7% |
| Zenit or Rostov | 80.0% | — | 79.4% |
| Draw or Rostov | 31.8% | — | 32.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.8% | — | 75.6% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25.2% | — | 24.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.2% | 55.0% | 51.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49.8% | 45.0% | 48.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.2% | — | 28.2% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71.8% | — | 71.8% |
| Both teams to score | 43.0% | — | 46.6% |
| Not both teams to score | 57.0% | — | 53.4% |
| Zenit to score | 86.4% | — | 86.3% |
| Rostov to score | 49.7% | — | 45.3% |
Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:35 WIB · 1xBet.
Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:31 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 13.6% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 2.00 – 0.69. Correlation 0.00.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 15 · Conceded 6
Scored 6 · Conceded 6
Zenit: +0.68 per game vs xG — Overperforming.
Across 5 games: scored 14 on 10.41 xG, conceded 6 on 5.82 xG against.
Rostov: +0.80 per game vs xG — Overperforming.
Across 5 games: scored 6 on 4.76 xG, conceded 3 on 5.78 xG against.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.