Pro LeaguePartial

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk

Monday 9 November at 00:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Union Saint-Gilloise win	59.1%	59.4%	62.2%
Draw	22.8%	21.7%	23.0%
Genk win	18.1%	19.0%	14.8%
Union Saint-Gilloise or draw	81.9%	—	85.2%
Union Saint-Gilloise or Genk	77.2%	—	77.0%
Draw or Genk	40.9%	—	37.8%
Over 1.5 goals	74.9%	—	75.3%
Under 1.5 goals	25.1%	—	24.7%
Over 2.5 goals	50.3%	59.0%	53.3%
Under 2.5 goals	49.7%	41.0%	46.7%
Over 3.5 goals	28.3%	—	32.3%
Under 3.5 goals	71.7%	—	67.7%
Both teams to score	49.0%	—	46.3%
Not both teams to score	51.0%	—	53.7%
Union Saint-Gilloise to score	83.5%	—	83.7%
Genk to score	58.7%	—	47.4%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 1 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:33 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.8%	6.0%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
1	12.3%	10.8%	4.8%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
2	11.1%	9.8%	4.3%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%
3	6.7%	5.9%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
4	3.0%	2.7%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
5	1.1%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–012.3%
2.2–011.1%
3.1–110.8%
4.2–19.8%
5.0–06.8%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.80 – 0.88. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Union Saint-GilloiseWWWWWD

Scored 16 · Conceded 6

Thu 5 Novat Celta Vigo2–1xG 2.04–1.03
Sat 31 Octat SK Beveren2–1xG 1.07–0.53
Sat 31 Octat Beveren2–1xG 0.69–0.47
Sun 25 Octat Cercle Brugge5–2xG 2.30–1.18
Thu 22 Octat Hapoel Be'er Sheva4–0xG 3.04–0.82
Thu 15 Octat Real Sociedad1–1xG 2.16–0.63

GenkLWWWWL

Scored 11 · Conceded 5

Sat 31 Octat Mechelen0–1xG 1.82–0.43
Sun 25 Octat Standard Liege2–1xG 4.58–1.19
Sun 25 Octat Standard2–1xG 3.32–1.48
Sat 10 Octat KV Kortrijk3–0xG 1.61–0.68
Sat 10 Octat Kortrijk3–0xG 1.78–0.64
Sat 3 Octat Fortuna Sittard1–2

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Union Saint-Gilloise: +0.56 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 16 on 11.29 xG, conceded 6 on 4.65 xG against.

Genk: −0.34 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 5 games: scored 10 on 13.11 xG, conceded 3 on 4.43 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Union Saint-Gilloise win

59.1%

59.4%

62.2%

Draw

22.8%

21.7%

23.0%

Genk win

18.1%

19.0%

14.8%

Union Saint-Gilloise or draw

81.9%

—

85.2%

Union Saint-Gilloise or Genk

77.2%

—

77.0%

Draw or Genk

40.9%

—

37.8%

Over 1.5 goals

74.9%

—

75.3%

Under 1.5 goals

25.1%

—

24.7%

Over 2.5 goals

50.3%

59.0%

53.3%

Under 2.5 goals

49.7%

41.0%

46.7%

Over 3.5 goals

28.3%

—

32.3%

Under 3.5 goals

71.7%

—

67.7%

Both teams to score

49.0%

—

46.3%

Not both teams to score

51.0%

—

53.7%

Union Saint-Gilloise to score

83.5%

—

83.7%

Genk to score

58.7%

—

47.4%

6.8%

6.0%

2.7%

0.8%

0.2%

0.0%

12.3%

10.8%

4.8%

1.4%

0.3%

0.1%

11.1%

9.8%

4.3%

1.3%

0.3%

0.0%

6.7%

5.9%

2.6%

0.8%

0.2%

0.0%

3.0%

2.7%

1.2%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

1.1%

1.0%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%