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Chance LigaCalibrated
Monday 9 November at 00:00 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoria Plzeň win | 45.9% | 38.8% | 36.5% |
| Draw | 22.6% | 25.4% | 24.4% |
| Sparta Praha win | 31.5% | 35.8% | 39.1% |
| Viktoria Plzeň or draw | 68.5% | — | 60.9% |
| Viktoria Plzeň or Sparta Praha | 77.4% | — | 75.6% |
| Draw or Sparta Praha | 54.1% | — | 63.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.5% | — | 82.4% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15.5% | — | 17.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.6% | 57.5% | 61.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35.4% | 42.5% | 38.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.6% | — | 39.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57.4% | — | 60.8% |
| Both teams to score | 65.1% | — | 62.2% |
| Not both teams to score | 34.9% | — | 37.8% |
| Viktoria Plzeň to score | 84.0% | — | 72.6% |
| Sparta Praha to score | 77.5% | — | 74.3% |
Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 1 picks.
Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:36 WIB · 1xBet.
Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:33 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 1.83 – 1.49. Correlation 0.00.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 11 · Conceded 8
Scored 7 · Conceded 6
Viktoria Plzeň: −0.77 per game vs xG — Underperforming.
Across 3 games: scored 3 on 5.23 xG, conceded 4 on 3.94 xG against.
Sparta Praha: −0.39 per game vs xG — Underperforming.
Across 3 games: scored 2 on 3.67 xG, conceded 5 on 5.51 xG against.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.