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Chance LigaCalibrated
Sunday 8 November at 21:00 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jablonec win | 41.6% | 51.6% | 42.2% |
| Draw | 24.4% | 24.4% | 24.7% |
| Mladá Boleslav win | 33.9% | 23.9% | 33.1% |
| Jablonec or draw | 66.1% | — | 66.9% |
| Jablonec or Mladá Boleslav | 75.6% | — | 75.3% |
| Draw or Mladá Boleslav | 58.4% | — | 57.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.3% | — | 80.1% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20.7% | — | 19.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.5% | 57.5% | 58.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43.5% | 42.5% | 41.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.1% | — | 36.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65.9% | — | 63.9% |
| Both teams to score | 59.3% | — | 59.0% |
| Not both teams to score | 40.7% | — | 41.0% |
| Jablonec to score | 79.0% | — | 75.5% |
| Mladá Boleslav to score | 75.0% | — | 70.1% |
Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 2 picks.
Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:35 WIB · 1xBet.
Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:29 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.39. Correlation 0.00.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 7 · Conceded 13
Scored 8 · Conceded 7
Jablonec: +0.35 per game vs xG — Overperforming.
Across 3 games: scored 3 on 3.59 xG, conceded 4 on 5.64 xG against.
Mladá Boleslav: not enough xG data yet.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.