Premier LeagueCalibrated

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool

Sunday 8 November at 21:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Crystal Palace win	22.0%	18.9%	26.0%
Draw	22.2%	21.4%	23.2%
Liverpool win	55.8%	59.7%	50.8%
Crystal Palace or draw	44.2%	—	49.2%
Crystal Palace or Liverpool	77.8%	—	76.8%
Draw or Liverpool	78.0%	—	74.0%
Over 1.5 goals	80.6%	—	79.7%
Under 1.5 goals	19.4%	—	20.4%
Over 2.5 goals	58.5%	60.8%	57.8%
Under 2.5 goals	41.5%	39.2%	42.3%
Over 3.5 goals	36.1%	—	35.5%
Under 3.5 goals	63.9%	—	64.5%
Both teams to score	57.5%	—	58.5%
Not both teams to score	42.5%	—	41.5%
Crystal Palace to score	67.4%	—	63.2%
Liverpool to score	85.2%	—	80.5%

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:34 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:29 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.8%	9.2%	8.8%	5.6%	2.7%	1.0%
1	5.4%	10.3%	9.9%	6.3%	3.0%	1.2%
2	3.0%	5.8%	5.5%	3.5%	1.7%	0.6%
3	1.1%	2.2%	2.1%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.3%	0.6%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
5	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–110.3%
2.1–29.9%
3.0–19.2%
4.0–28.8%
5.1–36.3%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.12 – 1.91. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Crystal PalaceDLWLDL

Scored 4 · Conceded 12

Thu 5 Novat TSG Hoffenheim1–1xG 1.12–1.38
Sat 31 Octat Tottenham Hotspur0–2xG 0.21–4.08
Wed 28 Octat Fulham1–0xG 0.89–1.76
Sun 25 Octat Newcastle United0–2xG 1.83–1.11
Thu 22 Octat Besiktas2–2xG 0.60–0.54
Sun 18 Octat Brighton & Hove Albion0–5xG 0.56–2.41

LiverpoolLWLWWW

Scored 11 · Conceded 7

Wed 4 Novat Fenerbahce2–3xG 2.14–1.69
Sun 1 Novat Juventud2–0
Sun 1 Novat Arsenal0–1xG 1.71–0.81
Sun 25 Octat Nacional1–0
Sun 25 Octat Brighton & Hove Albion2–0xG 1.27–1.69
Tue 20 Octat Villarreal CF4–3xG 2.33–1.42

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Crystal Palace: −0.32 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 4 on 5.21 xG, conceded 12 on 11.28 xG against.

Liverpool: −0.21 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 4 games: scored 8 on 7.45 xG, conceded 7 on 5.61 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Crystal Palace win

22.0%

18.9%

26.0%

Draw

22.2%

21.4%

23.2%

Liverpool win

55.8%

59.7%

50.8%

Crystal Palace or draw

44.2%

—

49.2%

Crystal Palace or Liverpool

77.8%

—

76.8%

Draw or Liverpool

78.0%

—

74.0%

Over 1.5 goals

80.6%

—

79.7%

Under 1.5 goals

19.4%

—

20.4%

Over 2.5 goals

58.5%

60.8%

57.8%

Under 2.5 goals

41.5%

39.2%

42.3%

Over 3.5 goals

36.1%

—

35.5%

Under 3.5 goals

63.9%

—

64.5%

Both teams to score

57.5%

—

58.5%

Not both teams to score

42.5%

—

41.5%

Crystal Palace to score

67.4%

—

63.2%

Liverpool to score

85.2%

—

80.5%

4.8%

9.2%

8.8%

5.6%

2.7%

1.0%

5.4%

10.3%

9.9%

6.3%

3.0%

1.2%

3.0%

5.8%

5.5%

3.5%

1.7%

0.6%

1.1%

2.2%

2.1%

1.3%

0.6%

0.2%

0.3%

0.6%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%