Super LeagueCalibrated

Luzern vs Young Boys

Sunday 8 November at 00:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Luzern win	34.3%	29.6%	30.9%
Draw	19.3%	22.3%	23.3%
Young Boys win	46.3%	48.2%	45.8%
Luzern or draw	53.7%	—	54.2%
Luzern or Young Boys	80.7%	—	76.7%
Draw or Young Boys	65.7%	—	69.1%
Over 1.5 goals	93.7%	—	83.0%
Under 1.5 goals	6.3%	—	17.0%
Over 2.5 goals	82.2%	72.9%	63.4%
Under 2.5 goals	17.8%	27.1%	36.6%
Over 3.5 goals	65.1%	—	41.3%
Under 3.5 goals	34.9%	—	58.7%
Both teams to score	79.3%	—	64.2%
Not both teams to score	20.7%	—	35.8%
Luzern to score	87.3%	—	67.7%
Young Boys to score	90.9%	—	78.0%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 10 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 19:37 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:21 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	1.2%	2.8%	3.3%	2.6%	1.6%	0.8%
1	2.4%	5.7%	6.9%	5.5%	3.3%	1.6%
2	2.5%	5.9%	7.1%	5.6%	3.4%	1.6%
3	1.7%	4.1%	4.9%	3.9%	2.3%	1.1%
4	0.9%	2.1%	2.5%	2.0%	1.2%	0.6%
5	0.4%	0.9%	1.0%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%

1.2–27.1%
2.1–26.9%
3.2–15.9%
4.1–15.7%
5.2–35.6%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.06 – 2.39. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

LuzernDLLLWL

Scored 11 · Conceded 16

Sat 31 Octat Sion1–1xG 0.69–2.89
Sat 24 Octat Zurich1–2xG 2.91–1.71
Sat 10 Octat Lugano0–4xG 1.15–2.14
Sat 3 Octat SC Freiburg2–4
Sat 19 Septat Grasshopper5–1xG 4.07–1.83
Sun 13 Septat Basel2–4xG 1.54–1.31

Young BoysLWWWWD

Scored 14 · Conceded 10

Sun 1 Novat Zurich3–5xG 2.33–2.54
Sat 24 Octat St. Gallen2–0xG 1.72–0.95
Sun 11 Octat Grasshopper2–0xG 2.48–0.48
Fri 2 Octat Aarau2–1
Sat 19 Septat Servette3–2xG 2.64–0.67
Sat 12 Septat Lugano2–2xG 2.53–1.66

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Luzern: −0.70 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 9 on 10.36 xG, conceded 12 on 9.88 xG against.

Young Boys: −0.47 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 12 on 11.69 xG, conceded 9 on 6.31 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Luzern win

34.3%

29.6%

30.9%

Draw

19.3%

22.3%

23.3%

Young Boys win

46.3%

48.2%

45.8%

Luzern or draw

53.7%

—

54.2%

Luzern or Young Boys

80.7%

—

76.7%

Draw or Young Boys

65.7%

—

69.1%

Over 1.5 goals

93.7%

—

83.0%

Under 1.5 goals

6.3%

—

17.0%

Over 2.5 goals

82.2%

72.9%

63.4%

Under 2.5 goals

17.8%

27.1%

36.6%

Over 3.5 goals

65.1%

—

41.3%

Under 3.5 goals

34.9%

—

58.7%

Both teams to score

79.3%

—

64.2%

Not both teams to score

20.7%

—

35.8%

Luzern to score

87.3%

—

67.7%

Young Boys to score

90.9%

—

78.0%

1.2%

2.8%

3.3%

2.6%

1.6%

0.8%

2.4%

5.7%

6.9%

5.5%

3.3%

1.6%

2.5%

5.9%

7.1%

5.6%

3.4%

1.6%

1.7%

4.1%

4.9%

3.9%

2.3%

1.1%

0.9%

2.1%

2.5%

2.0%

1.2%

0.6%

0.4%

0.9%

1.0%

0.8%

0.5%

0.2%