Super LeagueCalibrated

Servette vs Zürich

Sunday 8 November at 22:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Servette win	55.0%	56.4%	54.5%
Draw	20.4%	22.2%	21.4%
Zürich win	24.6%	21.3%	24.1%
Servette or draw	75.4%	—	75.9%
Servette or Zürich	79.6%	—	78.6%
Draw or Zürich	45.0%	—	45.5%
Over 1.5 goals	87.6%	—	82.8%
Under 1.5 goals	12.4%	—	17.2%
Over 2.5 goals	70.0%	62.4%	62.6%
Under 2.5 goals	30.0%	37.6%	37.4%
Over 3.5 goals	48.8%	—	40.4%
Under 3.5 goals	51.2%	—	59.6%
Both teams to score	67.4%	—	60.8%
Not both teams to score	32.6%	—	39.2%
Servette to score	88.8%	—	83.1%
Zürich to score	75.9%	—	62.1%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 1 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:35 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:31 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	2.7%	3.8%	2.7%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%
1	5.9%	8.4%	6.0%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%
2	6.5%	9.2%	6.5%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
3	4.7%	6.7%	4.8%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
4	2.6%	3.7%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
5	1.1%	1.6%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1.2–19.2%
2.1–18.4%
3.3–16.7%
4.2–26.5%
5.2–06.5%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.19 – 1.42. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

ServetteLWWLLW

Scored 13 · Conceded 10

Sat 31 Octat St. Gallen1–2xG 1.09–1.88
Sat 24 Octat Vaduz2–1xG 2.45–0.39
Sat 10 Octat Sion3–0xG 1.78–1.02
Fri 2 Octat FC Annecy1–2
Sat 19 Septat Young Boys2–3xG 0.67–2.64
Wed 16 Septat Thun4–2xG 1.81–2.18

ZürichWWWWDW

Scored 17 · Conceded 9

Sun 1 Novat Young Boys5–3xG 2.54–2.33
Sat 24 Octat Luzern2–1xG 1.71–2.91
Sat 10 Octat Thun4–2xG 0.96–1.11
Fri 25 Septat Neuchatel Xamax3–1
Sat 19 Septat Sion1–1xG 2.54–3.01
Sun 13 Septat Vaduz2–1xG 1.31–1.47

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Servette: +0.86 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 12 on 7.81 xG, conceded 8 on 8.10 xG against.

Zürich: +1.55 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 14 on 9.06 xG, conceded 8 on 10.83 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Servette win

55.0%

56.4%

54.5%

Draw

20.4%

22.2%

21.4%

Zürich win

24.6%

21.3%

24.1%

Servette or draw

75.4%

—

75.9%

Servette or Zürich

79.6%

—

78.6%

Draw or Zürich

45.0%

—

45.5%

Over 1.5 goals

87.6%

—

82.8%

Under 1.5 goals

12.4%

—

17.2%

Over 2.5 goals

70.0%

62.4%

62.6%

Under 2.5 goals

30.0%

37.6%

37.4%

Over 3.5 goals

48.8%

—

40.4%

Under 3.5 goals

51.2%

—

59.6%

Both teams to score

67.4%

—

60.8%

Not both teams to score

32.6%

—

39.2%

Servette to score

88.8%

—

83.1%

Zürich to score

75.9%

—

62.1%

2.7%

3.8%

2.7%

1.3%

0.5%

0.1%

5.9%

8.4%

6.0%

2.8%

1.0%

0.3%

6.5%

9.2%

6.5%

3.1%

1.1%

0.3%

4.7%

6.7%

4.8%

2.3%

0.8%

0.2%

2.6%

3.7%

2.6%

1.2%

0.4%

0.1%

1.1%

1.6%

1.2%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%