Super LeagueCalibrated

Vaduz vs Sion

Sunday 8 November at 00:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Vaduz win	36.8%	24.3%	38.3%
Draw	22.3%	21.0%	24.2%
Sion win	41.0%	54.8%	37.5%
Vaduz or draw	59.0%	—	62.4%
Vaduz or Sion	77.7%	—	75.8%
Draw or Sion	63.2%	—	61.7%
Over 1.5 goals	86.4%	—	82.8%
Under 1.5 goals	13.6%	—	17.2%
Over 2.5 goals	67.9%	71.8%	63.5%
Under 2.5 goals	32.1%	28.2%	36.5%
Over 3.5 goals	46.3%	—	41.8%
Under 3.5 goals	53.7%	—	58.2%
Both teams to score	68.2%	—	63.8%
Not both teams to score	31.8%	—	36.2%
Vaduz to score	81.7%	—	73.7%
Sion to score	83.5%	—	72.4%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 3 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 19:37 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:21 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.0%	5.4%	4.9%	2.9%	1.3%	0.5%
1	5.1%	9.2%	8.3%	5.0%	2.2%	0.8%
2	4.4%	7.9%	7.1%	4.2%	1.9%	0.7%
3	2.5%	4.4%	4.0%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%
4	1.0%	1.9%	1.7%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%
5	0.4%	0.6%	0.6%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1.1–19.2%
2.1–28.3%
3.2–17.9%
4.2–27.1%
5.0–15.4%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.70 – 1.80. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

VaduzDLWLLW

Scored 11 · Conceded 9

Sat 31 Octat Grasshopper2–2xG 2.10–2.75
Sat 24 Octat Servette1–2xG 0.39–2.45
Sun 11 Octat Basel3–0xG 2.62–0.98
Sun 20 Septat Thun1–2xG 2.30–1.65
Sun 13 Septat Zurich1–2xG 1.47–1.31
Sat 5 Septat Lausanne Sport3–1xG 1.81–0.58

SionDWLLLD

Scored 6 · Conceded 14

Sat 31 Octat Luzern1–1xG 2.89–0.69
Sun 25 Octat Lausanne Sport1–0xG 1.85–1.50
Sat 10 Octat Servette0–3xG 1.02–1.78
Fri 2 Octat AS Saint-Etienne1–5
Thu 24 Septat Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2–4
Sat 19 Septat Zurich1–1xG 3.01–2.54

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Vaduz: +0.17 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 11 on 10.68 xG, conceded 9 on 9.71 xG against.

Sion: −1.06 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 4 games: scored 3 on 8.76 xG, conceded 5 on 6.51 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Vaduz win

36.8%

24.3%

38.3%

Draw

22.3%

21.0%

24.2%

Sion win

41.0%

54.8%

37.5%

Vaduz or draw

59.0%

—

62.4%

Vaduz or Sion

77.7%

—

75.8%

Draw or Sion

63.2%

—

61.7%

Over 1.5 goals

86.4%

—

82.8%

Under 1.5 goals

13.6%

—

17.2%

Over 2.5 goals

67.9%

71.8%

63.5%

Under 2.5 goals

32.1%

28.2%

36.5%

Over 3.5 goals

46.3%

—

41.8%

Under 3.5 goals

53.7%

—

58.2%

Both teams to score

68.2%

—

63.8%

Not both teams to score

31.8%

—

36.2%

Vaduz to score

81.7%

—

73.7%

Sion to score

83.5%

—

72.4%

3.0%

5.4%

4.9%

2.9%

1.3%

0.5%

5.1%

9.2%

8.3%

5.0%

2.2%

0.8%

4.4%

7.9%

7.1%

4.2%

1.9%

0.7%

2.5%

4.4%

4.0%

2.4%

1.1%

0.4%

1.0%

1.9%

1.7%

1.0%

0.5%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%