J1 LeagueCalibrated

Vissel Kobe vs Urawa Reds

Sunday 8 November at 12:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Vissel Kobe win	53.5%	44.8%	51.0%
Draw	21.9%	26.8%	24.7%
Urawa Reds win	24.6%	28.4%	24.4%
Vissel Kobe or draw	75.4%	—	75.7%
Vissel Kobe or Urawa Reds	78.1%	—	75.3%
Draw or Urawa Reds	46.5%	—	49.0%
Over 1.5 goals	83.4%	—	76.7%
Under 1.5 goals	16.6%	—	23.3%
Over 2.5 goals	62.8%	52.2%	54.0%
Under 2.5 goals	37.2%	47.8%	46.0%
Over 3.5 goals	40.6%	—	30.7%
Under 3.5 goals	59.4%	—	69.3%
Both teams to score	61.9%	—	54.1%
Not both teams to score	38.1%	—	45.9%
Vissel Kobe to score	86.0%	—	79.7%
Urawa Reds to score	72.0%	—	60.6%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 3 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:02 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:25 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.9%	5.0%	3.2%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
1	7.7%	9.8%	6.3%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
2	7.6%	9.6%	6.1%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
3	5.0%	6.3%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.4%	3.1%	2.0%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%
5	1.0%	1.2%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–19.8%
2.2–19.6%
3.1–07.7%
4.2–07.6%
5.3–16.3%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.96 – 1.27. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Vissel KobeWWWDLW

Scored 11 · Conceded 5

Tue 3 Novat Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC3–2
Sat 31 Octat Nagoya Grampus3–1xG 1.68–1.58
Tue 27 Octat Daejeon Citizen1–0
Sat 24 Octat Machida Zelvia0–0xG 1.41–1.89
Wed 21 Octat Kawasaki Frontale1–2xG 1.43–2.23
Sun 18 Octat Fagiano Okayama3–0xG 2.29–1.17

Urawa RedsLWWWLW

Scored 8 · Conceded 10

Sat 31 Octat Kashiwa Reysol0–4xG 1.48–1.03
Sun 25 Octat V-Varen Nagasaki1–0xG 1.46–1.00
Wed 21 Octat JEF United3–2xG 1.25–1.47
Sat 17 Octat Mito Hollyhock1–0xG 2.98–0.03
Sat 10 Octat FC Tokyo0–3xG 0.81–2.32
Sat 19 Septat Tokyo Verdy3–1xG 0.98–0.21

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Vissel Kobe: +1.02 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 4 games: scored 7 on 6.81 xG, conceded 3 on 6.87 xG against.

Urawa Reds: −0.82 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 8 on 8.96 xG, conceded 10 on 6.05 xG against.

Note: Vissel Kobe are overperforming against xG while Urawa Reds are underperforming — recent results and the numbers disagree here.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Vissel Kobe win

53.5%

44.8%

51.0%

Draw

21.9%

26.8%

24.7%

Urawa Reds win

24.6%

28.4%

24.4%

Vissel Kobe or draw

75.4%

—

75.7%

Vissel Kobe or Urawa Reds

78.1%

—

75.3%

Draw or Urawa Reds

46.5%

—

49.0%

Over 1.5 goals

83.4%

—

76.7%

Under 1.5 goals

16.6%

—

23.3%

Over 2.5 goals

62.8%

52.2%

54.0%

Under 2.5 goals

37.2%

47.8%

46.0%

Over 3.5 goals

40.6%

—

30.7%

Under 3.5 goals

59.4%

—

69.3%

Both teams to score

61.9%

—

54.1%

Not both teams to score

38.1%

—

45.9%

Vissel Kobe to score

86.0%

—

79.7%

Urawa Reds to score

72.0%

—

60.6%

3.9%

5.0%

3.2%

1.4%

0.4%

0.1%

7.7%

9.8%

6.3%

2.7%

0.8%

0.2%

7.6%

9.6%

6.1%

2.6%

0.8%

0.2%

5.0%

6.3%

4.0%

1.7%

0.5%

0.1%

2.4%

3.1%

2.0%

0.8%

0.3%

0.1%

1.0%

1.2%

0.8%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%