J1 LeagueCalibrated

JEF United vs Mito Hollyhock

Sunday 8 November at 15:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
JEF United win	60.1%	47.2%	40.8%
Draw	22.4%	27.2%	26.8%
Mito Hollyhock win	17.5%	25.6%	32.4%
JEF United or draw	82.5%	—	67.6%
JEF United or Mito Hollyhock	77.6%	—	73.2%
Draw or Mito Hollyhock	39.9%	—	59.2%
Over 1.5 goals	75.6%	—	74.1%
Under 1.5 goals	24.4%	—	25.9%
Over 2.5 goals	51.2%	48.2%	49.3%
Under 2.5 goals	48.8%	51.8%	50.7%
Over 3.5 goals	29.1%	—	26.8%
Under 3.5 goals	70.9%	—	73.2%
Both teams to score	49.3%	—	54.1%
Not both teams to score	50.7%	—	45.9%
JEF United to score	84.2%	—	73.1%
Mito Hollyhock to score	58.5%	—	66.8%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 5 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:03 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:26 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.6%	5.8%	2.5%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
1	12.1%	10.6%	4.7%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
2	11.2%	9.8%	4.3%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%
3	6.9%	6.0%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
4	3.2%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
5	1.2%	1.0%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–012.1%
2.2–011.2%
3.1–110.6%
4.2–19.8%
5.3–06.9%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.84 – 0.88. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

JEF UnitedWDLDDL

Scored 9 · Conceded 8

Sun 1 Novat Avispa Fukuoka3–0xG 2.45–0.23
Sun 25 Octat Cerezo Osaka2–2xG 1.45–1.78
Wed 21 Octat Urawa Reds2–3xG 1.47–1.25
Sat 17 Octat Yokohama F. Marinos0–0xG 0.79–0.80
Sun 11 Octat V-Varen Nagasaki1–1xG 1.72–0.77
Sat 19 Septat Shimizu S-Pulse1–2xG 0.86–1.17

Mito HollyhockLLLLLL

Scored 1 · Conceded 16

Sat 31 Octat Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–3xG 0.22–1.46
Sun 25 Octat FC Tokyo0–6xG 0.50–2.67
Wed 21 Octat Fagiano Okayama0–2xG 0.29–1.11
Sat 17 Octat Urawa Reds0–1xG 0.03–2.98
Sun 11 Octat Shimizu S-Pulse1–2xG 0.71–0.89
Sat 19 Septat Yokohama F. Marinos0–2xG 0.39–1.66

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

JEF United: −0.29 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 8.73 xG, conceded 8 on 6.00 xG against.

Mito Hollyhock: −1.06 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 1 on 2.14 xG, conceded 16 on 10.78 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

JEF United win

60.1%

47.2%

40.8%

Draw

22.4%

27.2%

26.8%

Mito Hollyhock win

17.5%

25.6%

32.4%

JEF United or draw

82.5%

—

67.6%

JEF United or Mito Hollyhock

77.6%

—

73.2%

Draw or Mito Hollyhock

39.9%

—

59.2%

Over 1.5 goals

75.6%

—

74.1%

Under 1.5 goals

24.4%

—

25.9%

Over 2.5 goals

51.2%

48.2%

49.3%

Under 2.5 goals

48.8%

51.8%

50.7%

Over 3.5 goals

29.1%

—

26.8%

Under 3.5 goals

70.9%

—

73.2%

Both teams to score

49.3%

—

54.1%

Not both teams to score

50.7%

—

45.9%

JEF United to score

84.2%

—

73.1%

Mito Hollyhock to score

58.5%

—

66.8%

6.6%

5.8%

2.5%

0.7%

0.2%

0.0%

12.1%

10.6%

4.7%

1.4%

0.3%

0.1%

11.2%

9.8%

4.3%

1.3%

0.3%

0.0%

6.9%

6.0%

2.7%

0.8%

0.2%

0.0%

3.2%

2.8%

1.2%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

1.2%

1.0%

0.5%

0.1%

0.0%