J1 LeagueCalibrated

Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka

Sunday 8 November at 13:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Gamba Osaka win	48.0%	41.1%	47.2%
Draw	24.5%	26.8%	25.5%
Cerezo Osaka win	27.6%	32.1%	27.3%
Gamba Osaka or draw	72.4%	—	72.7%
Gamba Osaka or Cerezo Osaka	75.5%	—	74.5%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka	52.0%	—	52.8%
Over 1.5 goals	77.1%	—	75.2%
Under 1.5 goals	22.9%	—	24.8%
Over 2.5 goals	53.4%	55.3%	52.1%
Under 2.5 goals	46.6%	44.7%	47.9%
Over 3.5 goals	31.1%	—	30.5%
Under 3.5 goals	68.9%	—	69.5%
Both teams to score	55.8%	—	54.7%
Not both teams to score	44.2%	—	45.3%
Gamba Osaka to score	80.5%	—	77.0%
Cerezo Osaka to score	69.3%	—	62.2%

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:02 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:26 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.0%	7.1%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
1	9.8%	11.6%	6.8%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
2	8.0%	9.4%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%	0.2%
3	4.4%	5.1%	3.0%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
5	0.6%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–111.6%
2.1–09.8%
3.2–19.4%
4.2–08.0%
5.0–17.1%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.64 – 1.18. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Gamba OsakaDDDDWD

Scored 10 · Conceded 9

Wed 4 Novat Pohang Steelers3–3
Sun 1 Novat Machida Zelvia0–0xG 1.59–1.43
Wed 28 Octat Buriram United1–1
Sat 24 Octat Kyoto Sanga2–2xG 1.80–1.56
Wed 21 Octat Avispa Fukuoka2–1xG 0.60–0.86
Sat 17 Octat Shimizu S-Pulse2–2xG 1.26–1.11

Cerezo OsakaLDDLDD

Scored 7 · Conceded 12

Sat 31 Octat Kashima Antlers1–4xG 1.26–1.92
Sun 25 Octat JEF United2–2xG 1.78–1.45
Wed 21 Octat Nagoya Grampus1–1xG 0.87–1.29
Sat 17 Octat Kawasaki Frontale2–4xG 1.82–1.43
Sat 10 Octat Yokohama F. Marinos0–0xG 0.63–1.18
Sat 19 Septat V-Varen Nagasaki1–1xG 1.99–1.27

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Gamba Osaka: +0.17 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 4 games: scored 6 on 5.25 xG, conceded 5 on 4.95 xG against.

Cerezo Osaka: −0.80 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 7 on 8.35 xG, conceded 12 on 8.54 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Gamba Osaka win

48.0%

41.1%

47.2%

Draw

24.5%

26.8%

25.5%

Cerezo Osaka win

27.6%

32.1%

27.3%

Gamba Osaka or draw

72.4%

—

72.7%

Gamba Osaka or Cerezo Osaka

75.5%

—

74.5%

Draw or Cerezo Osaka

52.0%

—

52.8%

Over 1.5 goals

77.1%

—

75.2%

Under 1.5 goals

22.9%

—

24.8%

Over 2.5 goals

53.4%

55.3%

52.1%

Under 2.5 goals

46.6%

44.7%

47.9%

Over 3.5 goals

31.1%

—

30.5%

Under 3.5 goals

68.9%

—

69.5%

Both teams to score

55.8%

—

54.7%

Not both teams to score

44.2%

—

45.3%

Gamba Osaka to score

80.5%

—

77.0%

Cerezo Osaka to score

69.3%

—

62.2%

6.0%

7.1%

4.2%

1.6%

0.5%

0.1%

9.8%

11.6%

6.8%

2.7%

0.8%

0.2%

8.0%

9.4%

5.6%

2.2%

0.6%

0.2%

4.4%

5.1%

3.0%

1.2%

0.4%

0.1%

1.8%

2.1%

1.2%

0.5%

0.1%

0.0%

0.6%

0.7%

0.4%

0.2%

0.0%