Ligue 2Partial

Pau vs Nantes

Sunday 8 November at 02:00 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Pau win	44.1%	31.5%	45.6%
Draw	23.7%	29.0%	27.5%
Nantes win	32.2%	39.6%	26.9%
Pau or draw	67.8%	—	73.1%
Pau or Nantes	76.3%	—	72.5%
Draw or Nantes	55.9%	—	54.4%
Over 1.5 goals	81.2%	—	70.1%
Under 1.5 goals	18.8%	—	29.9%
Over 2.5 goals	59.4%	47.2%	44.6%
Under 2.5 goals	40.6%	52.8%	55.4%
Over 3.5 goals	37.0%	—	23.8%
Under 3.5 goals	63.0%	—	76.2%
Both teams to score	61.2%	—	49.3%
Not both teams to score	38.8%	—	50.7%
Pau to score	81.3%	—	74.7%
Nantes to score	75.4%	—	61.1%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 11 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:01 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:22 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.6%	6.5%	4.5%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
1	7.7%	10.8%	7.6%	3.5%	1.2%	0.3%
2	6.5%	9.1%	6.4%	3.0%	1.0%	0.3%
3	3.6%	5.1%	3.5%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%
4	1.5%	2.1%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%
5	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.8%
2.2–19.1%
3.1–07.7%
4.1–27.6%
5.2–06.5%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.40. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

PauWWWWWW

Scored 15 · Conceded 7

Fri 30 Octat FC Metz3–1xG 2.32–2.12
Fri 23 Octat Grenoble Foot 382–1xG 1.82–0.48
Fri 16 Octat EA Guingamp2–1xG 0.69–2.41
Fri 9 Octat Stade Lavallois3–2xG 1.75–1.87
Sat 3 Octat Toulouse FC3–2
Fri 18 Septat US Dunkerque2–0xG 2.66–0.49

NantesDLLDLW

Scored 6 · Conceded 8

Fri 30 Octat Clermont Foot1–1xG 0.58–0.33
Sat 24 Octat AS Saint-Etienne0–1xG 0.62–1.00
Sat 17 Octat US Dunkerque2–3xG 2.05–1.61
Sat 10 Octat Stade de Reims0–0xG 1.73–0.35
Sat 3 Octat FC Lorient1–2
Sat 19 Septat Boulogne2–1xG 1.59–0.57

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Pau: +1.03 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 12 on 9.24 xG, conceded 5 on 7.38 xG against.

Nantes: −0.74 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 5 on 6.57 xG, conceded 6 on 3.87 xG against.

Note: Pau are overperforming against xG while Nantes are underperforming — recent results and the numbers disagree here.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Pau win

44.1%

31.5%

45.6%

Draw

23.7%

29.0%

27.5%

Nantes win

32.2%

39.6%

26.9%

Pau or draw

67.8%

—

73.1%

Pau or Nantes

76.3%

—

72.5%

Draw or Nantes

55.9%

—

54.4%

Over 1.5 goals

81.2%

—

70.1%

Under 1.5 goals

18.8%

—

29.9%

Over 2.5 goals

59.4%

47.2%

44.6%

Under 2.5 goals

40.6%

52.8%

55.4%

Over 3.5 goals

37.0%

—

23.8%

Under 3.5 goals

63.0%

—

76.2%

Both teams to score

61.2%

—

49.3%

Not both teams to score

38.8%

—

50.7%

Pau to score

81.3%

—

74.7%

Nantes to score

75.4%

—

61.1%

4.6%

6.5%

4.5%

2.1%

0.7%

0.2%

7.7%

10.8%

7.6%

3.5%

1.2%

0.3%

6.5%

9.1%

6.4%

3.0%

1.0%

0.3%

3.6%

5.1%

3.5%

1.7%

0.6%

0.2%

1.5%

2.1%

1.5%

0.7%

0.2%

0.1%

0.5%

0.7%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%