EkstraklasaCalibrated

Widzew Lodz vs Pogoń Szczecin

Sunday 8 November at 02:15 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Widzew Lodz win	36.8%	45.9%	39.2%
Draw	25.7%	25.0%	26.8%
Pogoń Szczecin win	37.6%	29.1%	34.0%
Widzew Lodz or draw	62.4%	—	65.9%
Widzew Lodz or Pogoń Szczecin	74.3%	—	73.2%
Draw or Pogoń Szczecin	63.2%	—	60.8%
Over 1.5 goals	75.6%	—	75.1%
Under 1.5 goals	24.4%	—	24.9%
Over 2.5 goals	51.3%	55.4%	51.1%
Under 2.5 goals	48.7%	44.6%	48.9%
Over 3.5 goals	29.2%	—	28.4%
Under 3.5 goals	70.8%	—	71.5%
Both teams to score	55.4%	—	56.5%
Not both teams to score	44.6%	—	43.5%
Widzew Lodz to score	74.2%	—	72.9%
Pogoń Szczecin to score	74.7%	—	69.2%

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:01 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:22 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.5%	9.0%	6.2%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%
1	8.9%	12.2%	8.3%	3.8%	1.3%	0.4%
2	6.0%	8.2%	5.7%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%
3	2.7%	3.7%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.9%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
5	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–112.2%
2.0–19.0%
3.1–08.9%
4.1–28.3%
5.2–18.2%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.35 – 1.37. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Widzew LodzLDDLDD

Scored 8 · Conceded 10

Sat 31 Octat Katowice2–3xG 1.29–2.19
Fri 23 Octat Gornik Zabrze1–1xG 0.68–1.88
Fri 16 Octat Wisła Krakow0–0xG 0.48–2.55
Sun 11 Octat Piast Gliwice1–2xG 2.09–1.63
Sat 26 Septat Gornik Łeczna2–2
Fri 18 Septat Wieczysta Krakow2–2xG 1.16–1.57

Pogoń SzczecinLWWWDW

Scored 11 · Conceded 8

Mon 2 Novat Rakow Czestochowa1–3xG 0.60–2.48
Sat 24 Octat Radomiak Radom4–3xG 1.26–1.97
Sat 17 Octat Katowice1–0xG 1.62–1.15
Sun 11 Octat Korona Kielce2–0xG 1.07–1.01
Sat 26 Septat Udinese Calcio1–1
Sun 20 Septat Piast Gliwice2–1xG 1.20–1.06

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Widzew Lodz: +0.42 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 6 on 5.70 xG, conceded 8 on 9.82 xG against.

Pogoń Szczecin: +0.98 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 10 on 5.76 xG, conceded 7 on 7.66 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Widzew Lodz win

36.8%

45.9%

39.2%

Draw

25.7%

25.0%

26.8%

Pogoń Szczecin win

37.6%

29.1%

34.0%

Widzew Lodz or draw

62.4%

—

65.9%

Widzew Lodz or Pogoń Szczecin

74.3%

—

73.2%

Draw or Pogoń Szczecin

63.2%

—

60.8%

Over 1.5 goals

75.6%

—

75.1%

Under 1.5 goals

24.4%

—

24.9%

Over 2.5 goals

51.3%

55.4%

51.1%

Under 2.5 goals

48.7%

44.6%

48.9%

Over 3.5 goals

29.2%

—

28.4%

Under 3.5 goals

70.8%

—

71.5%

Both teams to score

55.4%

—

56.5%

Not both teams to score

44.6%

—

43.5%

Widzew Lodz to score

74.2%

—

72.9%

Pogoń Szczecin to score

74.7%

—

69.2%

6.5%

9.0%

6.2%

2.8%

1.0%

0.3%

8.9%

12.2%

8.3%

3.8%

1.3%

0.4%

6.0%

8.2%

5.7%

2.6%

0.9%

0.2%

2.7%

3.7%

2.6%

1.2%

0.4%

0.1%

0.9%

1.3%

0.9%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%