EkstraklasaCalibrated

Górnik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków

Saturday 7 November at 23:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Górnik Zabrze win	68.7%	63.4%	42.3%
Draw	17.8%	20.6%	24.6%
Wieczysta Kraków win	13.5%	16.0%	33.1%
Górnik Zabrze or draw	86.5%	—	66.9%
Górnik Zabrze or Wieczysta Kraków	82.2%	—	75.4%
Draw or Wieczysta Kraków	31.3%	—	57.7%
Over 1.5 goals	84.1%	—	81.9%
Under 1.5 goals	15.9%	—	18.1%
Over 2.5 goals	64.0%	60.5%	61.0%
Under 2.5 goals	36.0%	39.5%	39.0%
Over 3.5 goals	41.9%	—	36.9%
Under 3.5 goals	58.1%	—	63.1%
Both teams to score	55.4%	—	62.7%
Not both teams to score	44.6%	—	37.3%
Górnik Zabrze to score	90.5%	—	76.7%
Wieczysta Kraków to score	61.2%	—	70.8%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 5 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 17:37 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:20 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.7%	3.5%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
1	8.7%	8.2%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
2	10.2%	9.7%	4.6%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
3	8.0%	7.6%	3.6%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
4	4.7%	4.5%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
5	2.2%	2.1%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1.2–010.2%
2.2–19.7%
3.1–08.7%
4.1–18.2%
5.3–08.0%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.35 – 0.95. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Górnik ZabrzeDDDWLD

Scored 5 · Conceded 5

Fri 30 Octat Legia Warszawa0–0xG 1.01–0.52
Fri 23 Octat Widzew Lodz1–1xG 1.88–0.68
Sun 18 Octat Piast Gliwice1–1xG 3.33–0.90
Sat 10 Octat Jagiellonia Białystok3–1xG 2.10–0.74
Fri 2 Octat Odra Opole0–2
Sat 19 Septat Motor Lublin0–0xG 0.95–0.63

Wieczysta KrakówLLLLWW

Scored 10 · Conceded 12

Sat 31 Octat Jagiellonia Białystok1–3xG 2.41–3.23
Sun 25 Octat Slask Wrocław0–2xG 1.65–2.19
Fri 16 Octat Rakow Czestochowa1–2xG 1.32–2.77
Mon 12 Octat Katowice1–2xG 1.71–0.86
Fri 9 Octat Wisła Płock3–0xG 2.14–0.78
Fri 2 Octat Puszcza Niepołomice4–3

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Górnik Zabrze: −0.76 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 5 on 9.27 xG, conceded 3 on 3.46 xG against.

Wieczysta Kraków: −0.48 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 6 on 9.23 xG, conceded 9 on 9.83 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Górnik Zabrze win

68.7%

63.4%

42.3%

Draw

17.8%

20.6%

24.6%

Wieczysta Kraków win

13.5%

16.0%

33.1%

Górnik Zabrze or draw

86.5%

—

66.9%

Górnik Zabrze or Wieczysta Kraków

82.2%

—

75.4%

Draw or Wieczysta Kraków

31.3%

—

57.7%

Over 1.5 goals

84.1%

—

81.9%

Under 1.5 goals

15.9%

—

18.1%

Over 2.5 goals

64.0%

60.5%

61.0%

Under 2.5 goals

36.0%

39.5%

39.0%

Over 3.5 goals

41.9%

—

36.9%

Under 3.5 goals

58.1%

—

63.1%

Both teams to score

55.4%

—

62.7%

Not both teams to score

44.6%

—

37.3%

Górnik Zabrze to score

90.5%

—

76.7%

Wieczysta Kraków to score

61.2%

—

70.8%

3.7%

3.5%

1.7%

0.5%

0.1%

0.0%

8.7%

8.2%

3.9%

1.2%

0.3%

0.1%

10.2%

9.7%

4.6%

1.4%

0.3%

0.1%

8.0%

7.6%

3.6%

1.1%

0.3%

0.1%

4.7%

4.5%

2.1%

0.7%

0.2%

0.0%

2.2%

2.1%

1.0%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%