Eerste DivisiePartial

Vitesse vs De Graafschap

Sunday 8 November at 18:15 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Vitesse win	42.7%	49.4%	44.2%
Draw	23.5%	24.0%	22.0%
De Graafschap win	33.8%	26.6%	33.8%
Vitesse or draw	66.2%	—	66.2%
Vitesse or De Graafschap	76.5%	—	78.0%
Draw or De Graafschap	57.3%	—	55.8%
Over 1.5 goals	82.1%	—	85.5%
Under 1.5 goals	17.9%	—	14.5%
Over 2.5 goals	60.7%	66.0%	67.4%
Under 2.5 goals	39.3%	34.0%	32.6%
Over 3.5 goals	38.4%	—	44.0%
Under 3.5 goals	61.6%	—	56.0%
Both teams to score	62.5%	—	65.3%
Not both teams to score	37.5%	—	34.7%
Vitesse to score	81.2%	—	78.9%
De Graafschap to score	76.9%	—	71.8%

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 19:38 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:27 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.3%	6.3%	4.7%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
1	7.2%	10.6%	7.8%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%
2	6.1%	8.9%	6.5%	3.2%	1.2%	0.3%
3	3.4%	5.0%	3.6%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.4%	2.1%	1.5%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%
5	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.6%
2.2–18.9%
3.1–27.8%
4.1–07.2%
5.2–26.5%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.47. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

VitesseDWLWLD

Scored 6 · Conceded 7

Mon 2 Novat Jong Ajax1–1xG 1.12–0.87
Wed 28 Octat VVV-Venlo2–0
Fri 23 Octat FC Emmen0–2xG 1.37–2.69
Fri 16 Octat FC Eindhoven1–0xG 0.32–0.86
Fri 9 Octat FC Volendam0–2xG 1.34–1.79
Sat 3 Octat NAC Breda2–2xG 1.45–1.64

De GraafschapWLDLWD

Scored 8 · Conceded 8

Fri 30 Octat FC Volendam2–1xG 1.62–1.81
Tue 27 Octat Roda JC Kerkrade0–1
Fri 23 Octat RKC Waalwijk1–1xG 1.13–1.98
Mon 19 Octat Jong Ajax1–2xG 1.05–1.95
Fri 9 Octat Jong FC Utrecht2–1xG 1.26–1.94
Sat 3 Octat FC Eindhoven2–2xG 1.37–1.38

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Vitesse: −0.15 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 5 games: scored 4 on 5.60 xG, conceded 7 on 7.86 xG against.

De Graafschap: +0.72 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 8 on 6.43 xG, conceded 7 on 9.06 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Vitesse win

42.7%

49.4%

44.2%

Draw

23.5%

24.0%

22.0%

De Graafschap win

33.8%

26.6%

33.8%

Vitesse or draw

66.2%

—

66.2%

Vitesse or De Graafschap

76.5%

—

78.0%

Draw or De Graafschap

57.3%

—

55.8%

Over 1.5 goals

82.1%

—

85.5%

Under 1.5 goals

17.9%

—

14.5%

Over 2.5 goals

60.7%

66.0%

67.4%

Under 2.5 goals

39.3%

34.0%

32.6%

Over 3.5 goals

38.4%

—

44.0%

Under 3.5 goals

61.6%

—

56.0%

Both teams to score

62.5%

—

65.3%

Not both teams to score

37.5%

—

34.7%

Vitesse to score

81.2%

—

78.9%

De Graafschap to score

76.9%

—

71.8%

4.3%

6.3%

4.7%

2.3%

0.8%

0.2%

7.2%

10.6%

7.8%

3.8%

1.4%

0.4%

6.1%

8.9%

6.5%

3.2%

1.2%

0.3%

3.4%

5.0%

3.6%

1.8%

0.7%

0.2%

1.4%

2.1%

1.5%

0.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.5%

0.7%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%