Eerste DivisiePartial

FC Emmen vs MVV Maastricht

Sunday 8 November at 22:45 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
FC Emmen win	57.9%	64.3%	63.4%
Draw	20.6%	19.6%	20.0%
MVV Maastricht win	21.5%	16.0%	16.6%
FC Emmen or draw	78.5%	—	83.5%
FC Emmen or MVV Maastricht	79.4%	—	80.0%
Draw or MVV Maastricht	42.1%	—	36.6%
Over 1.5 goals	84.9%	—	86.4%
Under 1.5 goals	15.1%	—	13.6%
Over 2.5 goals	65.3%	64.6%	68.4%
Under 2.5 goals	34.7%	35.4%	31.6%
Over 3.5 goals	43.4%	—	48.5%
Under 3.5 goals	56.6%	—	51.5%
Both teams to score	62.5%	—	63.4%
Not both teams to score	37.5%	—	36.6%
FC Emmen to score	88.1%	—	88.2%
MVV Maastricht to score	70.9%	—	53.9%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 1 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:36 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:32 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.5%	4.3%	2.6%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
1	7.4%	9.1%	5.6%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
2	7.8%	9.7%	6.0%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
3	5.6%	6.9%	4.2%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
4	3.0%	3.7%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
5	1.3%	1.6%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1.2–19.7%
2.1–19.1%
3.2–07.8%
4.1–07.4%
5.3–16.9%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.13 – 1.24. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

FC EmmenLWWWWD

Scored 10 · Conceded 7

Sun 1 Novat FC Den Bosch0–5xG 1.02–3.60
Thu 29 Octat FC Groningen2–0
Fri 23 Octat Vitesse2–0xG 2.69–1.37
Sat 17 Octat Almere City2–1xG 3.53–1.73
Fri 9 Octat FC Dordrecht3–0xG 0.73–0.52
Sat 3 Octat RKC Waalwijk1–1xG 1.49–1.10

MVV MaastrichtLLDLLL

Scored 5 · Conceded 17

Sat 31 Octat VVV-Venlo1–2xG 1.43–0.45
Wed 28 Octat Excelsior0–3
Fri 23 Octat FC Den Bosch2–2xG 1.77–1.38
Sun 18 Octat Heracles Almelo1–5xG 0.94–2.87
Fri 9 Octat NAC Breda0–1xG 0.35–0.99
Sat 3 Octat TOP Oss1–4xG 0.92–1.65

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

FC Emmen: −0.03 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 5 games: scored 8 on 9.46 xG, conceded 7 on 8.32 xG against.

MVV Maastricht: −1.41 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 5 on 5.42 xG, conceded 14 on 7.35 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

FC Emmen win

57.9%

64.3%

63.4%

Draw

20.6%

19.6%

20.0%

MVV Maastricht win

21.5%

16.0%

16.6%

FC Emmen or draw

78.5%

—

83.5%

FC Emmen or MVV Maastricht

79.4%

—

80.0%

Draw or MVV Maastricht

42.1%

—

36.6%

Over 1.5 goals

84.9%

—

86.4%

Under 1.5 goals

15.1%

—

13.6%

Over 2.5 goals

65.3%

64.6%

68.4%

Under 2.5 goals

34.7%

35.4%

31.6%

Over 3.5 goals

43.4%

—

48.5%

Under 3.5 goals

56.6%

—

51.5%

Both teams to score

62.5%

—

63.4%

Not both teams to score

37.5%

—

36.6%

FC Emmen to score

88.1%

—

88.2%

MVV Maastricht to score

70.9%

—

53.9%

3.5%

4.3%

2.6%

1.1%

0.3%

0.1%

7.4%

9.1%

5.6%

2.3%

0.7%

0.2%

7.8%

9.7%

6.0%

2.5%

0.8%

0.2%

5.6%

6.9%

4.2%

1.7%

0.5%

0.1%

3.0%

3.7%

2.3%

0.9%

0.3%

0.1%

1.3%

1.6%

1.0%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%