Ligue 1Calibrated

Angers SCO vs Nice

Sunday 8 November at 23:15 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Angers SCO win	30.8%	27.8%	31.5%
Draw	24.9%	25.6%	27.3%
Nice win	44.4%	46.6%	41.2%
Angers SCO or draw	55.6%	—	58.8%
Angers SCO or Nice	75.1%	—	72.7%
Draw or Nice	69.2%	—	68.5%
Over 1.5 goals	77.2%	—	74.6%
Under 1.5 goals	22.8%	—	25.4%
Over 2.5 goals	53.5%	55.3%	49.9%
Under 2.5 goals	46.5%	44.7%	50.0%
Over 3.5 goals	31.3%	—	28.2%
Under 3.5 goals	68.7%	—	71.8%
Both teams to score	56.6%	—	55.3%
Not both teams to score	43.4%	—	44.7%
Angers SCO to score	71.6%	—	67.2%
Nice to score	79.0%	—	73.9%

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:36 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:33 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.0%	9.3%	7.3%	3.8%	1.5%	0.5%
1	7.5%	11.7%	9.1%	4.8%	1.9%	0.6%
2	4.7%	7.4%	5.8%	3.0%	1.2%	0.4%
3	2.0%	3.1%	2.4%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.6%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%
5	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–111.7%
2.0–19.3%
3.1–29.1%
4.1–07.5%
5.2–17.4%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.56. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Angers SCOLDLLLW

Scored 7 · Conceded 17

Sun 1 Novat Olympique Lyonnais0–2xG 0.62–2.52
Sun 25 Octat FC Lorient0–0xG 0.43–0.73
Sun 18 Octat Olympique Marseille2–5xG 2.00–2.83
Sun 18 Octat Olympique de Marseille2–5xG 2.21–2.71
Sat 10 Octat Stade Brestois 291–5xG 1.26–2.79
Sat 19 Septat ESTAC Troyes2–0xG 1.64–1.49

NiceWWLWWL

Scored 12 · Conceded 8

Fri 30 Octat Stade Rennais5–2xG 3.29–2.30
Fri 23 Octat Stade Brestois 292–1xG 0.72–1.79
Sun 18 Octat Olympique Lyonnais1–2xG 1.33–1.38
Sun 11 Octat RC Strasbourg2–1xG 1.12–0.80
Sun 20 Septat LOSC Lille2–1xG 1.21–1.65
Sat 12 Septat AJ Auxerre0–1xG 1.00–1.23

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Angers SCO: −0.85 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 7 on 8.15 xG, conceded 17 on 13.07 xG against.

Nice: +0.75 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 12 on 8.66 xG, conceded 8 on 9.15 xG against.

Note: Angers SCO are underperforming against xG while Nice are overperforming — recent results and the numbers disagree here.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Angers SCO win

30.8%

27.8%

31.5%

Draw

24.9%

25.6%

27.3%

Nice win

44.4%

46.6%

41.2%

Angers SCO or draw

55.6%

—

58.8%

Angers SCO or Nice

75.1%

—

72.7%

Draw or Nice

69.2%

—

68.5%

Over 1.5 goals

77.2%

—

74.6%

Under 1.5 goals

22.8%

—

25.4%

Over 2.5 goals

53.5%

55.3%

49.9%

Under 2.5 goals

46.5%

44.7%

50.0%

Over 3.5 goals

31.3%

—

28.2%

Under 3.5 goals

68.7%

—

71.8%

Both teams to score

56.6%

—

55.3%

Not both teams to score

43.4%

—

44.7%

Angers SCO to score

71.6%

—

67.2%

Nice to score

79.0%

—

73.9%

6.0%

9.3%

7.3%

3.8%

1.5%

0.5%

7.5%

11.7%

9.1%

4.8%

1.9%

0.6%

4.7%

7.4%

5.8%

3.0%

1.2%

0.4%

2.0%

3.1%

2.4%

1.3%

0.5%

0.2%

0.6%

1.0%

0.8%

0.4%

0.2%

0.0%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%