Ligue 1Calibrated

Le Havre vs Lorient

Sunday 8 November at 23:15 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Le Havre win	36.7%	34.7%	33.7%
Draw	26.7%	27.9%	29.7%
Lorient win	36.6%	37.4%	36.6%
Le Havre or draw	63.4%	—	63.4%
Le Havre or Lorient	73.3%	—	70.3%
Draw or Lorient	63.3%	—	66.3%
Over 1.5 goals	72.1%	—	68.6%
Under 1.5 goals	27.9%	—	31.4%
Over 2.5 goals	46.7%	47.6%	42.7%
Under 2.5 goals	53.3%	52.4%	57.3%
Over 3.5 goals	25.1%	—	23.1%
Under 3.5 goals	74.9%	—	76.9%
Both teams to score	51.8%	—	48.6%
Not both teams to score	48.2%	—	51.4%
Le Havre to score	72.0%	—	66.0%
Lorient to score	71.9%	—	68.2%

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:36 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:32 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.9%	10.0%	6.3%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
1	10.0%	12.7%	8.1%	3.4%	1.1%	0.3%
2	6.4%	8.1%	5.1%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
3	2.7%	3.4%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.9%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
5	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–112.7%
2.1–010.0%
3.0–110.0%
4.2–18.1%
5.1–28.1%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.27. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Le HavreLLLLLW

Scored 14 · Conceded 18

Fri 30 Octat Paris Saint Germain1–5xG 1.43–2.19
Sun 25 Octat Olympique Marseille3–4xG 2.98–1.24
Sun 25 Octat Olympique de Marseille3–4xG 3.10–1.54
Sun 18 Octat AJ Auxerre1–3xG 1.65–1.68
Sat 10 Octat LOSC Lille0–1xG 1.52–0.77
Fri 2 Octat Boulogne6–1

LorientLDWWWL

Scored 5 · Conceded 5

Mon 2 Novat Stade Brestois 290–2xG 1.93–1.04
Sun 25 Octat Angers SCO0–0xG 0.73–0.43
Sun 18 Octat AS Monaco1–0xG 1.71–0.77
Sat 10 Octat Paris1–0xG 0.73–0.95
Sat 3 Octat FC Nantes2–1
Sat 19 Septat Le Mans1–2xG 0.82–1.15

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Le Havre: −2.45 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 8 on 10.68 xG, conceded 17 on 7.42 xG against.

Lorient: −0.52 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 3 on 5.91 xG, conceded 4 on 4.33 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Le Havre win

36.7%

34.7%

33.7%

Draw

26.7%

27.9%

29.7%

Lorient win

36.6%

37.4%

36.6%

Le Havre or draw

63.4%

—

63.4%

Le Havre or Lorient

73.3%

—

70.3%

Draw or Lorient

63.3%

—

66.3%

Over 1.5 goals

72.1%

—

68.6%

Under 1.5 goals

27.9%

—

31.4%

Over 2.5 goals

46.7%

47.6%

42.7%

Under 2.5 goals

53.3%

52.4%

57.3%

Over 3.5 goals

25.1%

—

23.1%

Under 3.5 goals

74.9%

—

76.9%

Both teams to score

51.8%

—

48.6%

Not both teams to score

48.2%

—

51.4%

Le Havre to score

72.0%

—

66.0%

Lorient to score

71.9%

—

68.2%

7.9%

10.0%

6.3%

2.7%

0.9%

0.2%

10.0%

12.7%

8.1%

3.4%

1.1%

0.3%

6.4%

8.1%

5.1%

2.2%

0.7%

0.2%

2.7%

3.4%

2.2%

0.9%

0.3%

0.1%

0.9%

1.1%

0.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%