Ligue 1Calibrated

Le Mans vs Monaco

Sunday 8 November at 23:15 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Le Mans win	27.6%	22.2%	30.6%
Draw	22.4%	22.8%	26.2%
Monaco win	50.0%	55.0%	43.2%
Le Mans or draw	50.0%	—	56.9%
Le Mans or Monaco	77.6%	—	73.8%
Draw or Monaco	72.4%	—	69.4%
Over 1.5 goals	83.4%	—	74.1%
Under 1.5 goals	16.6%	—	25.9%
Over 2.5 goals	62.8%	60.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	37.2%	40.0%	50.0%
Over 3.5 goals	40.6%	—	27.9%
Under 3.5 goals	59.4%	—	72.1%
Both teams to score	62.9%	—	53.7%
Not both teams to score	37.1%	—	46.3%
Le Mans to score	74.2%	—	65.5%
Monaco to score	84.8%	—	74.4%

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 6 picks.

Market odds captured Tuesday 3 November at 19:36 WIB · 1xBet.

Sportmonks panel Saturday 7 November at 17:32 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3.9%	7.4%	7.0%	4.4%	2.1%	0.8%
1	5.3%	10.0%	9.4%	5.9%	2.8%	1.1%
2	3.6%	6.8%	6.4%	4.0%	1.9%	0.7%
3	1.6%	3.1%	2.9%	1.8%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.5%	1.0%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%
5	0.1%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.0%
2.1–29.4%
3.0–17.4%
4.0–27.0%
5.2–16.8%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.35 – 1.89. Correlation 0.00.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the Sportmonks fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Le MansLDLLLW

Scored 5 · Conceded 12

Sat 31 Octat ESTAC Troyes0–2xG 0.26–1.59
Sun 25 Octat AJ Auxerre1–1xG 1.19–0.91
Fri 16 Octat Toulouse FC0–3xG 1.36–1.68
Sat 10 Octat Paris Saint Germain1–3xG 1.44–3.83
Fri 2 Octat EA Guingamp1–2
Sat 19 Septat FC Lorient2–1xG 1.15–0.82

MonacoWLDWLW

Scored 9 · Conceded 6

Thu 5 Novat Nordsjælland2–0xG 1.88–0.12
Sun 1 Novat Paris1–3xG 1.14–1.95
Sun 25 Octat LOSC Lille1–1xG 2.45–0.45
Thu 22 Octat SC Freiburg3–0xG 1.51–1.51
Sun 18 Octat FC Lorient0–1xG 0.77–1.71
Thu 15 Octat CSKA Sofia2–1xG 1.27–1.17

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Le Mans: −0.52 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 5 games: scored 4 on 5.40 xG, conceded 10 on 8.82 xG against.

Monaco: +0.15 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 9.02 xG, conceded 6 on 6.92 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Le Mans win

27.6%

22.2%

30.6%

Draw

22.4%

22.8%

26.2%

Monaco win

50.0%

55.0%

43.2%

Le Mans or draw

50.0%

—

56.9%

Le Mans or Monaco

77.6%

—

73.8%

Draw or Monaco

72.4%

—

69.4%

Over 1.5 goals

83.4%

—

74.1%

Under 1.5 goals

16.6%

—

25.9%

Over 2.5 goals

62.8%

60.0%

50.0%

Under 2.5 goals

37.2%

40.0%

50.0%

Over 3.5 goals

40.6%

—

27.9%

Under 3.5 goals

59.4%

—

72.1%

Both teams to score

62.9%

—

53.7%

Not both teams to score

37.1%

—

46.3%

Le Mans to score

74.2%

—

65.5%

Monaco to score

84.8%

—

74.4%

3.9%

7.4%

7.0%

4.4%

2.1%

0.8%

5.3%

10.0%

9.4%

5.9%

2.8%

1.1%

3.6%

6.8%

6.4%

4.0%

1.9%

0.7%

1.6%

3.1%

2.9%

1.8%

0.9%

0.3%

0.5%

1.0%

0.6%

0.3%

0.1%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%